U.S. Metro Housing Market Rankings

June 2026 · 274 metros scored

Each metro scores 0–100 for housing cycle risk, derived from six public-data factors ranked against peers. How it works →

38 of 274metros

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Risk

Cycle

Momentum

Liquidity

Valuation

Permits

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Core Risk					Structural Drivers						Market Signals		Cycle		Context
#↑	Metro	Score	Risk Band	Chg	Price	Permits	Per Cap	Afford	Employ	Migr	Liquidity	Valuation	Diverg.	Cycle	Yield	S/L	Cuts	Emp	Value
1	Blacksburg, VA13980	78	ElevatedElevated	▼ 2	86	94	47	80	93	70	Watch—	Balanced↓	Moderate	Hypersupply	—	—	—	—	—	›
Structural Drivers Price86 Permits94 Per Cap47 Afford80 Employ93 Migr70 LiqWatch— ValBalanced↓ DivergModerate CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
2	College Station, TX17780	72	ElevatedElevated	▲ 10	72	91	92	97	20	61	Watch↑	Balanced↑	Moderate	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Con	—	›
Structural Drivers Price72 Permits91 Per Cap92 Afford97 Employ20 Migr61 LiqWatch↑ ValBalanced↑ DivergModerate CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
3	Valdosta, GA46660	70	ElevatedElevated	0	100	47	68	65	91	51	Stress↓	Compressed↑	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	—	—	›
Structural Drivers Price100 Permits47 Per Cap68 Afford65 Employ91 Migr51 LiqStress↓ ValCompressed↑ CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
7	Hickory, NC25860	69	ElevatedElevated	▲ 1	40	81	89	82	93	29	Watch—	Balanced—	Moderate	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Con	—	›
Structural Drivers Price40 Permits81 Per Cap89 Afford82 Employ93 Migr29 LiqWatch— ValBalanced— DivergModerate CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
28	Grand Junction, CO24300	63	ElevatedElevated	▲ 2	94	30	61	94	74	25	Stress↓	Balanced—	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price94 Permits30 Per Cap61 Afford94 Employ74 Migr25 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
31	Champaign, IL16580	62	ElevatedElevated	▼ 5	7	100	85	38	54	90	Stress↓	Balanced↓	High	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price7 Permits100 Per Cap85 Afford38 Employ54 Migr90 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced↓ DivergHigh CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
31	Auburn, AL12220	62	ElevatedElevated	▲ 6	92	81	95	63	1	37	Watch↑	Balanced↑	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	—	—	›
Structural Drivers Price92 Permits81 Per Cap95 Afford63 Employ1 Migr37 LiqWatch↑ ValBalanced↑ CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
38	Roanoke, VA40220	60	NeutralNeutral	▲ 5	78	46	38	51	80	68	Stress↓	Balanced—	High	Hypersupply	—	—	—	—	—	›
Structural Drivers Price78 Permits46 Per Cap38 Afford51 Employ80 Migr68 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— DivergHigh CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
64	Spartanburg, SC43900	57	NeutralNeutral	▼ 1	56	79	94	67	30	17	Watch↑	Balanced—	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Con	—	›
Structural Drivers Price56 Permits79 Per Cap94 Afford67 Employ30 Migr17 LiqWatch↑ ValBalanced— CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
70	Rochester, MN40340	56	NeutralNeutral	▼ 2	18	98	72	11	52	84	Watch↑	Balanced—	Low	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Con	—	›
Structural Drivers Price18 Permits98 Per Cap72 Afford11 Employ52 Migr84 LiqWatch↑ ValBalanced— DivergLow CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
70	Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN17140	56	NeutralNeutral	▼ 2	75	82	47	11	25	95	Stress↓	Balanced—	Moderate	Hypersupply	—	—	—	—	—	›
Structural Drivers Price75 Permits82 Per Cap47 Afford11 Employ25 Migr95 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— DivergModerate CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
70	Jackson, MI27100	56	NeutralNeutral	▼ 4	86	85	17	59	38	52	Watch↑	Balanced↓	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price86 Permits85 Per Cap17 Afford59 Employ38 Migr52 LiqWatch↑ ValBalanced↓ CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
70	Savannah, GA42340	56	NeutralNeutral	▲ 3	1	79	97	85	44	33	Stress↓	Balanced—	Moderate	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price1 Permits79 Per Cap97 Afford85 Employ44 Migr33 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— DivergModerate CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
70	Medford, OR32780	56	NeutralNeutral	▼ 1	32	77	53	76	65	35	Stress↓	Balanced—	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price32 Permits77 Per Cap53 Afford76 Employ65 Migr35 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
80	Chattanooga, TN-GA16860	55	NeutralNeutral	▼ 2	60	61	64	83	42	21	Watch—	Balanced—	Low	Hypersupply	—	—	—	—	—	›
Structural Drivers Price60 Permits61 Per Cap64 Afford83 Employ42 Migr21 LiqWatch— ValBalanced— DivergLow CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
80	Burlington, VT15540	55	NeutralNeutral	▼ 3	33	83	62	52	46	54	Stress↓	Balanced—	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price33 Permits83 Per Cap62 Afford52 Employ46 Migr54 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
92	Fayetteville, AR22220	54	NeutralNeutral	0	81	70	99	59	2	12	Stress↓	Balanced—	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Con	—	›
Structural Drivers Price81 Permits70 Per Cap99 Afford59 Employ2 Migr12 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
106	Greenville, NC24780	53	NeutralNeutral	▲ 2	18	74	89	58	7	73	Watch↑	Balanced—	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Con	—	›
Structural Drivers Price18 Permits74 Per Cap89 Afford58 Employ7 Migr73 LiqWatch↑ ValBalanced— CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
106	Buffalo, NY15380	53	NeutralNeutral	▲ 1	19	72	8	55	66	96	Watch↑	Balanced—	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Div	—	›
Structural Drivers Price19 Permits72 Per Cap8 Afford55 Employ66 Migr96 LiqWatch↑ ValBalanced— CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
106	Rochester, NY40380	53	NeutralNeutral	▲ 4	41	83	13	17	72	94	Stress↓	Balanced—	Moderate	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price41 Permits83 Per Cap13 Afford17 Employ72 Migr94 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— DivergModerate CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
122	New Haven, CT35300	52	NeutralNeutral	▼ 4	67	91	15	10	31	95	Watch↑	Balanced—	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Div	—	›
Structural Drivers Price67 Permits91 Per Cap15 Afford10 Employ31 Migr95 LiqWatch↑ ValBalanced— CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
122	Richmond, VA40060	52	NeutralNeutral	▲ 1	58	24	74	52	88	16	Watch↑	Balanced—	Moderate	Hypersupply	—	—	—	—	—	›
Structural Drivers Price58 Permits24 Per Cap74 Afford52 Employ88 Migr16 LiqWatch↑ ValBalanced— DivergModerate CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
155	Elkhart, IN21140	49	NeutralNeutral	▲ 4	58	14	21	37	85	78	Watch↑	Balanced—	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Con	—	›
Structural Drivers Price58 Permits14 Per Cap21 Afford37 Employ85 Migr78 LiqWatch↑ ValBalanced— CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
155	Greensboro, NC24660	49	NeutralNeutral	▼ 2	32	49	60	42	29	82	Stress↓	Balanced—	High	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Div	—	›
Structural Drivers Price32 Permits49 Per Cap60 Afford42 Employ29 Migr82 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— DivergHigh CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
166	Trenton, NJ45940	48	NeutralNeutral	▲ 1	71	6	31	5	78	94	Watch—	Balanced↓	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price71 Permits6 Per Cap31 Afford5 Employ78 Migr94 LiqWatch— ValBalanced↓ CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
166	Worcester, MA49340	48	NeutralNeutral	▲ 9	68	43	21	28	36	93	Stress—	Balanced—	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price68 Permits43 Per Cap21 Afford28 Employ36 Migr93 LiqStress— ValBalanced— CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
172	Baltimore, MD12580	47	NeutralNeutral	▲ 1	62	15	17	4	83	99	Watch↑	Balanced—	High	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price62 Permits15 Per Cap17 Afford4 Employ83 Migr99 LiqWatch↑ ValBalanced— DivergHigh CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
175	Athens, GA12020	46	NeutralNeutral	▲ 7	54	3	56	97	0	64	Stress↓	Balanced↑	High	Hypersupply	—	—	—	—	—	›
Structural Drivers Price54 Permits3 Per Cap56 Afford97 Employ0 Migr64 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced↑ DivergHigh CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
190	Charlottesville, VA16820	45	NeutralNeutral	▼ 4	86	23	65	29	5	63	Watch—	Balanced↑	Moderate	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Con	—	›
Structural Drivers Price86 Permits23 Per Cap65 Afford29 Employ5 Migr63 LiqWatch— ValBalanced↑ DivergModerate CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
206	Winston, NC49180	43	NeutralNeutral	▲ 1	36	40	76	54	19	31	Stress↓	Balanced—	Moderate	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price36 Permits40 Per Cap76 Afford54 Employ19 Migr31 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— DivergModerate CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
206	Peoria, IL37900	43	NeutralNeutral	▼ 4	82	68	0	3	44	62	Watch↑	Balanced—	Low	Hypersupply	—	—	—	—	—	›
Structural Drivers Price82 Permits68 Per Cap0 Afford3 Employ44 Migr62 LiqWatch↑ ValBalanced— DivergLow CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
211	Lincoln, NE30700	42	NeutralNeutral	▼ 5	21	24	68	37	24	79	Watch—	Balanced—	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price21 Permits24 Per Cap68 Afford37 Employ24 Migr79 LiqWatch— ValBalanced— CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
211	Greenville, SC24860	42	NeutralNeutral	▲ 2	47	28	85	74	8	8	Stress↓	Balanced—	High	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price47 Permits28 Per Cap85 Afford74 Employ8 Migr8 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— DivergHigh CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
218	Lynchburg, VA31340	41	NeutralNeutral	▼ 2	31	18	44	71	21	62	Watch↑	Balanced—	High	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price31 Permits18 Per Cap44 Afford71 Employ21 Migr62 LiqWatch↑ ValBalanced— DivergHigh CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
231	Jefferson City, MO27620	39	BelowBelow Average	▼ 5	48	49	10	42	30	56	Watch—	Balanced—	Moderate	Hypersupply	—	—	—	—	—	›
Structural Drivers Price48 Permits49 Per Cap10 Afford42 Employ30 Migr56 LiqWatch— ValBalanced— DivergModerate CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
255	Hattiesburg, MS25620	33	BelowBelow Average	▲ 1	0	10	1	60	74	52	Watch↑	Balanced—	High	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Con	—	›
Structural Drivers Price0 Permits10 Per Cap1 Afford60 Employ74 Migr52 LiqWatch↑ ValBalanced— DivergHigh CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
255	Chambersburg, PA16540	33	BelowBelow Average	▼ 3	12	49	67	25	4	43	Watch↑	Balanced↓	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price12 Permits49 Per Cap67 Afford25 Employ4 Migr43 LiqWatch↑ ValBalanced↓ CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
255	Las Cruces, NM29740	33	BelowBelow Average	▲ 1	24	23	42	57	3	50	Stress↓	Balanced—	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price24 Permits23 Per Cap42 Afford57 Employ3 Migr50 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →

38 of 274 metros shown