Rankings/Lafayette-West Lafayette, IN

Lafayette-West Lafayette, IN

NeutralTier 1CBSA 29200Compare

Risk Rank: #136 of 274Month: 2026-06Score change (12m):↓ -6

51score

Composite risk percentile vs 274 metros (higher = higher risk)

Executive Summary

Lafayette's housing market shows average risk, ranking 136th of 274 metros. The market recently entered Recession. The market shows signs of liquidity stress with elevated inventory. Deep correction with severe liquidity stress — significant risk remains.

Lafayette experienced a market correction from mid-2026 through mid-2026.

Inventory has surged +22% YoY with days on market up +16% — significant supply buildup indicating market stress.

Rent growth is roughly keeping pace with price appreciation, suggesting valuations are not stretched.

Cycle Phase

RecoveryExpansionHypersupplyRecession

2 months in current phase·from Recession

Demand contraction with rising inventory pressure

Key Dynamics

Risk is primarily driven by permits per capita and migration, while permit growth provides the most support.

Top Drivers

Permits per Capitap90

Permits per 1,000 residents

Migrationp88

Net AGI migration (risk inverted)

Price Momentump87

12-month HPI change

Market Signals

Inventory has surged +22% YoY with days on market up +16% — significant supply buildup indicating market stress.

Liquidity

Stress↓

Active Listings YoY

+21.9%p72

Days on Market YoY

+16.2%p77

Months in status2

Data through Jun 2026

Valuation

Balanced—

Rent vs. Price Growth

-0.8%p51

Months in status2

Data through Jun 2026Rent growth vs price growth (rent support). Note: Affordability and Valuation measure different structural dimensions and can diverge.

Factor Details

Lower riskHigher risk

Low RiskBelow AvgNeutralElevatedHigh Risk

Price MomentumHigh Risk

+2.9%p87

12-month HPI change — higher = overheating

Permit GrowthLow Risk

-34.8%p4

YoY permit change — higher = supply pressure

Permits per CapitaHigh Risk

9.65p90

Permits per 1,000 residents — higher = overbuilding risk

AffordabilityBelow Avg

0.27p34

Mortgage payment / income — higher = more burdened

EmploymentLow Risk

+2.2%p5

12-month employment change (risk inverted)

MigrationHigh Risk

-$68Kp88

Net AGI migration (risk inverted)

National Context

Credit Conditions

Credit Regime

Stable—

Active correction with weak transactions but available credit. Buyers can borrow — they're choosing not to at current prices.

Bank Lending Standards

N/ANormal

Rate Change (YoY)

-5 bpsNormal

Mortgage Risk Premium

+194 bpsElevated

Stable for 10 quartersData through 2026-Q3

Supply Pipeline

Supply Regime

Accumulating—

Supply pipeline is building up while credit remains available. New units are accumulating in the system — watch for delivery pressure in coming quarters.

Pipeline Ratio

0.90Elevated

Completion-Permit Divergence

-3.1 ppNormal

Accumulating for 5 quartersData through 2026-Q2

Local Signals

Metro Permit Activity

Permit Activity

Cooling

YoY Permit Growth

-34.8%Below norm

Raw signal — not the composite percentile

Relative to 2016–2019 norms for this metro

Builders are already retreating and demand is weak. A correction may be underway — the market is contracting on both the supply and demand side.

Employment Concentration

Employment

Limited data

Largest SectorGovernment 71.3%

4 of 20 sectors disclosed · QCEW 2024 annual averages

Internal Structure

County-level structural analysis.

County-level structural analysis is not available for this metro due to fewer than 3 qualifying counties.

Score History

Month	Phase	Score	Price	Permits	Afford	Employ	Migr
2026-05	Ress	63	88	16	34	58	88
2025-12	Hyp	78	61	100	33	86	88
2025-10	Hyp	55	33	14	30	96	80
2025-09	Ress	55	33	14	30	97	80
2025-07	Ress	47	35	14	30	44	80
2025-04	Hyp	62	75	14	33	92	80
2025-03	Ress	62	78	14	35	90	80
2025-01	Ress	64	83	14	35	96	80
2024-11	Hyp	63	85	14	34	89	80
2024-10	Rec	56	82	14	34	50	80
2024-09	Ress	51	92	14	31	12	80
2024-08	Hyp	51	96	14	31	10	80
2024-06	Ress	65	95	14	30	94	80
2024-04	Ress	63	88	14	30	90	80
2024-03	Hyp	64	88	14	28	95	80
2024-02	Rec	61	92	14	28	76	80
2023-12	Rec	56	96	14	41	28	80
2023-11	Exp	64	95	14	41	74	80
2023-09	Exp	57	76	14	35	59	80
2023-07	Rec	48	80	14	35	4	80
2023-05	Rec	48	79	14	34	6	80
2023-02	Hyp	40	36	14	28	5	80
2023-01	Ress	45	41	14	28	31	80
2022-11	Ress	45	52	14	41	4	80
2022-10	Rec	45	49	14	41	7	80
2022-08	Rec	49	34	14	38	49	80
2022-07	Ress	48	34	14	38	43	80
2022-05	Ress	47	44	14	42	26	80
2022-04	Rec	46	45	14	42	15	80
2022-03	Exp	43	36	14	39	12	80
2022-01	Exp	43	41	14	39	9	80
2021-10	Exp	47	51	14	36	31	74
2021-07	Exp	48	55	14	36	30	74
2021-05	Rec	44	58	14	34	9	74
2021-03	Rec	48	57	14	34	35	74
2021-02	Exp	49	59	14	34	38	74
2020-12	Exp	56	61	14	39	65	79
2020-11	Rec	53	53	14	39	58	79
2020-09	Rec	51	57	14	41	38	79
2020-06	Rec	49	64	14	38	25	79
2020-05	Exp	54	57	14	38	57	79
2020-03	Exp	54	35	14	36	87	79
2020-02	Rec	55	47	14	36	79	79
2019-12	Rec	57	77	14	40	64	74
2019-11	Exp	57	74	14	40	66	74
2019-09	Exp	54	52	14	35	77	74
2019-06	Exp	65	89	14	39	97	74
2019-05	Rec	64	86	14	39	99	74
2019-03	Rec	50	76	14	37	24	74
2019-01	Rec	55	86	14	37	42	74

Data Vintages

Price (HPI)2026-Q1

Permits2026-06

Income2024

Employment2026-06

Migration2023