U.S. Metro Housing Market Rankings

June 2026 · 274 metros scored

Each metro scores 0–100 for housing cycle risk, derived from six public-data factors ranked against peers. How it works →

37 of 274metros

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Risk

Cycle

Momentum

Liquidity

Valuation

Permits

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Core Risk					Structural Drivers						Market Signals		Cycle		Context
#↑	Metro	Score	Risk Band	Chg	Price	Permits	Per Cap	Afford	Employ	Migr	Liquidity	Valuation	Diverg.	Cycle	Yield	S/L	Cuts	Emp	Value
1	Blacksburg, VA13980	78	ElevatedElevated	▼ 2	86	94	47	80	93	70	Watch—	Balanced↓	Moderate	Hypersupply	—	—	—	—	—	›
Structural Drivers Price86 Permits94 Per Cap47 Afford80 Employ93 Migr70 LiqWatch— ValBalanced↓ DivergModerate CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
2	College Station, TX17780	72	ElevatedElevated	▲ 10	72	91	92	97	20	61	Watch↑	Balanced↑	Moderate	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Con	—	›
Structural Drivers Price72 Permits91 Per Cap92 Afford97 Employ20 Migr61 LiqWatch↑ ValBalanced↑ DivergModerate CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
3	South Bend, IN-MI43780	70	ElevatedElevated	▲ 4	69	82	39	70	87	74	Stable↑	Balanced—	—	Expansion	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price69 Permits82 Per Cap39 Afford70 Employ87 Migr74 LiqStable↑ ValBalanced— CycleExpansion Full metro detail →
3	Valdosta, GA46660	70	ElevatedElevated	0	100	47	68	65	91	51	Stress↓	Compressed↑	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	—	—	›
Structural Drivers Price100 Permits47 Per Cap68 Afford65 Employ91 Migr51 LiqStress↓ ValCompressed↑ CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
3	Waterloo, IA47940	70	ElevatedElevated	▲ 4	75	93	36	48	100	66	Stable↓	Balanced—	High	Recovery	—	—	—	Con	—	›
Structural Drivers Price75 Permits93 Per Cap36 Afford48 Employ100 Migr66 LiqStable↓ ValBalanced— DivergHigh CycleRecovery Full metro detail →
3	Abilene, TX10180	70	ElevatedElevated	0	93	99	93	85	3	47	Stable↑	Balanced—	—	Expansion	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price93 Permits99 Per Cap93 Afford85 Employ3 Migr47 LiqStable↑ ValBalanced— CycleExpansion Full metro detail →
7	Hickory, NC25860	69	ElevatedElevated	▲ 1	40	81	89	82	93	29	Watch—	Balanced—	Moderate	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Con	—	›
Structural Drivers Price40 Permits81 Per Cap89 Afford82 Employ93 Migr29 LiqWatch— ValBalanced— DivergModerate CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
7	Syracuse, NY45060	69	ElevatedElevated	▲ 2	65	100	45	32	79	91	Watch↓	Balanced—	High	Recovery	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price65 Permits100 Per Cap45 Afford32 Employ79 Migr91 LiqWatch↓ ValBalanced— DivergHigh CycleRecovery Full metro detail →
9	Odessa, TX36220	68	ElevatedElevated	▲ 7	38	78	77	68	70	77	Stress↑	Compressed↑	—	Recession	—	—	—	Div	—	›
Structural Drivers Price38 Permits78 Per Cap77 Afford68 Employ70 Migr77 LiqStress↑ ValCompressed↑ CycleRecession Full metro detail →
9	Billings, MT13740	68	ElevatedElevated	0	99	26	68	79	94	43	Stable↓	Balanced—	—	Recovery	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price99 Permits26 Per Cap68 Afford79 Employ94 Migr43 LiqStable↓ ValBalanced— CycleRecovery Full metro detail →
9	Madison, WI31540	68	ElevatedElevated	▲ 7	30	89	92	18	95	86	Stable↑	Balanced—	Moderate	Expansion	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price30 Permits89 Per Cap92 Afford18 Employ95 Migr86 LiqStable↑ ValBalanced— DivergModerate CycleExpansion Full metro detail →
12	Logan, UT-ID30860	67	ElevatedElevated	▲ 3	82	73	89	81	23	55	Stable↓	Balanced—	—	Recovery	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price82 Permits73 Per Cap89 Afford81 Employ23 Migr55 LiqStable↓ ValBalanced— CycleRecovery Full metro detail →
12	Oshkosh, WI36780	67	ElevatedElevated	▼ 2	47	95	72	46	88	56	Stress↓	Balanced↓	—	Recession	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price47 Permits95 Per Cap72 Afford46 Employ88 Migr56 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced↓ CycleRecession Full metro detail →
12	Pensacola, FL37860	67	ElevatedElevated	▲ 7	90	60	77	87	54	32	Stable—	Balanced↑	—	Recovery	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price90 Permits60 Per Cap77 Afford87 Employ54 Migr32 LiqStable— ValBalanced↑ CycleRecovery Full metro detail →
15	Virginia Beach, VA-NC47260	66	ElevatedElevated	▼ 1	67	76	36	47	86	87	Stable↑	Balanced—	Low	Expansion	—	—	—	—	—	›
Structural Drivers Price67 Permits76 Per Cap36 Afford47 Employ86 Migr87 LiqStable↑ ValBalanced— DivergLow CycleExpansion Full metro detail →
15	Yuma, AZ49740	66	ElevatedElevated	▲ 3	84	28	62	72	92	59	Stable↑	Balanced—	—	Expansion	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price84 Permits28 Per Cap62 Afford72 Employ92 Migr59 LiqStable↑ ValBalanced— CycleExpansion Full metro detail →
17	Jackson, MS27140	65	ElevatedElevated	▼ 2	87	95	34	13	77	85	Stable—	Balanced—	Low	Expansion	—	—	—	—	—	›
Structural Drivers Price87 Permits95 Per Cap34 Afford13 Employ77 Migr85 LiqStable— ValBalanced— DivergLow CycleExpansion Full metro detail →
17	Eugene, OR21660	65	ElevatedElevated	▲ 4	38	88	46	85	96	35	Stable↑	Balanced—	—	Recovery	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price38 Permits88 Per Cap46 Afford85 Employ96 Migr35 LiqStable↑ ValBalanced— CycleRecovery Full metro detail →
17	Kingston, NY28740	65	ElevatedElevated	▲ 1	71	97	41	84	81	14	Stable—	Balanced—	—	Expansion	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price71 Permits97 Per Cap41 Afford84 Employ81 Migr14 LiqStable— ValBalanced— CycleExpansion Full metro detail →
17	Amarillo, TX11100	65	ElevatedElevated	0	93	87	71	34	58	48	Stable—	Balanced—	—	Recovery	—	—	—	—	—	›
Structural Drivers Price93 Permits87 Per Cap71 Afford34 Employ58 Migr48 LiqStable— ValBalanced— CycleRecovery Full metro detail →
21	Corpus Christi, TX18580	64	ElevatedElevated	▲ 1	98	45	55	67	40	76	Stable↑	Balanced↓	Moderate	Recovery	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price98 Permits45 Per Cap55 Afford67 Employ40 Migr76 LiqStable↑ ValBalanced↓ DivergModerate CycleRecovery Full metro detail →
21	Appleton, WI11540	64	ElevatedElevated	▲ 2	24	98	71	16	89	84	Stress↑	Balanced—	—	Recession	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price24 Permits98 Per Cap71 Afford16 Employ89 Migr84 LiqStress↑ ValBalanced— CycleRecession Full metro detail →
21	Naples, FL34940	64	ElevatedElevated	▲ 6	94	57	84	93	58	1	Stable↓	Compressed—	—	Recovery	—	—	—	Div	—	›
Structural Drivers Price94 Permits57 Per Cap84 Afford93 Employ58 Migr1 LiqStable↓ ValCompressed— CycleRecovery Full metro detail →
21	Bend, OR13460	64	ElevatedElevated	▲ 2	3	93	96	89	96	8	Watch↓	Balanced—	Moderate	Recovery	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price3 Permits93 Per Cap96 Afford89 Employ96 Migr8 LiqWatch↓ ValBalanced— DivergModerate CycleRecovery Full metro detail →
21	Charleston, SC16700	64	ElevatedElevated	▲ 6	91	36	88	100	66	3	Stable—	Balanced—	Moderate	Expansion	—	—	—	Div	—	›
Structural Drivers Price91 Permits36 Per Cap88 Afford100 Employ66 Migr3 LiqStable— ValBalanced— DivergModerate CycleExpansion Full metro detail →
21	Crestview, FL18880	64	ElevatedElevated	▲ 8	83	31	95	78	77	23	Stable—	Balanced—	—	Recovery	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price83 Permits31 Per Cap95 Afford78 Employ77 Migr23 LiqStable— ValBalanced— CycleRecovery Full metro detail →
21	Florence, SC22500	64	ElevatedElevated	▼ 6	70	75	59	68	51	64	Stable↑	Balanced↓	—	Recovery	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price70 Permits75 Per Cap59 Afford68 Employ51 Migr64 LiqStable↑ ValBalanced↓ CycleRecovery Full metro detail →
28	Waco, TX47380	63	ElevatedElevated	▼ 4	75	92	69	93	10	39	Stable↓	Balanced—	Moderate	Recovery	—	—	—	—	—	›
Structural Drivers Price75 Permits92 Per Cap69 Afford93 Employ10 Migr39 LiqStable↓ ValBalanced— DivergModerate CycleRecovery Full metro detail →
28	Grand Junction, CO24300	63	ElevatedElevated	▲ 2	94	30	61	94	74	25	Stress↓	Balanced—	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price94 Permits30 Per Cap61 Afford94 Employ74 Migr25 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
28	Atlantic City, NJ12100	63	ElevatedElevated	▲ 12	92	25	48	91	91	33	Stable—	Balanced—	—	Expansion	—	—	—	Con	—	›
Structural Drivers Price92 Permits25 Per Cap48 Afford91 Employ91 Migr33 LiqStable— ValBalanced— CycleExpansion Full metro detail →
31	Brownsville, TX15180	62	ElevatedElevated	▼ 4	46	55	62	88	43	79	Stable—	Balanced—	—	Recovery	—	—	—	Con	—	›
Structural Drivers Price46 Permits55 Per Cap62 Afford88 Employ43 Migr79 LiqStable— ValBalanced— CycleRecovery Full metro detail →
31	Champaign, IL16580	62	ElevatedElevated	▼ 5	7	100	85	38	54	90	Stress↓	Balanced↓	High	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price7 Permits100 Per Cap85 Afford38 Employ54 Migr90 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced↓ DivergHigh CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
31	Auburn, AL12220	62	ElevatedElevated	▲ 6	92	81	95	63	1	37	Watch↑	Balanced↑	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	—	—	›
Structural Drivers Price92 Permits81 Per Cap95 Afford63 Employ1 Migr37 LiqWatch↑ ValBalanced↑ CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
34	Idaho Falls, ID26820	61	ElevatedElevated	▼ 1	61	7	90	70	96	40	Stable↓	Balanced—	—	Recovery	—	—	—	Con	—	›
Structural Drivers Price61 Permits7 Per Cap90 Afford70 Employ96 Migr40 LiqStable↓ ValBalanced— CycleRecovery Full metro detail →
34	Sebastian, FL42680	61	ElevatedElevated	▲ 13	92	86	10	86	75	17	Stable↓	Balanced—	—	Recovery	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price92 Permits86 Per Cap10 Afford86 Employ75 Migr17 LiqStable↓ ValBalanced— CycleRecovery Full metro detail →
34	Ogden, UT36260	61	ElevatedElevated	▲ 2	57	85	66	40	90	30	Stable—	Balanced—	—	Expansion	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price57 Permits85 Per Cap66 Afford40 Employ90 Migr30 LiqStable— ValBalanced— CycleExpansion Full metro detail →
34	Gainesville, FL23540	61	ElevatedElevated	▼ 2	4	74	71	98	44	77	Stable↓	Balanced—	High	Recovery	—	—	—	Con	—	›
Structural Drivers Price4 Permits74 Per Cap71 Afford98 Employ44 Migr77 LiqStable↓ ValBalanced— DivergHigh CycleRecovery Full metro detail →

37 of 274 metros shown