US Metro Real Estate Intelligence
Rankings/Coeur d'Alene, ID

Coeur d'Alene, ID

NeutralTier 1CBSA 17660Compare
Risk Rank: #41 of 287Month: 2025-12Score change (12m): +18
60score
Composite risk percentile vs 287 metros (higher = higher risk)

Cycle Phase

Coeur d'Alene experienced a market correction from late 2022 through early 2023. The market has since normalized and entered Expansion.

Recovery
Expansion
Hypersupply
Recession
In Expansion for 1 month·Previously: Recovery

Normal growth conditions with balanced fundamentals

RecRecRecExpExpHypHypHypExpRecRecRec2019202020212022202320242025
Recovery
Expansion
Hypersupply
Recession

Coeur d'Alene's housing market shows average risk, ranking 41st of 287 metros. The market recently entered Expansion. Current conditions are balanced with stable liquidity.

Executive Summary

Risk is Neutral, driven primarily by affordability and permits per capita. The market is in Expansion phase. Liquidity is stable and valuation is balanced.

Top Risk Drivers (This Month)

Affordability
p96 (highest risk decile)
Mortgage payment / income
Permits per Capita
p91 (highest risk decile)
Permits per 1,000 residents
Price Momentum
p83 (elevated risk)
12-month HPI change

Market Signals

Inventory is roughly flat (+3% YoY) with homes selling at a normal pace — a balanced market.

Liquidity

Stable
Active Listings YoY
+2.8%p52
Days on Market YoY
-2.5%p43
Months in status30
Data through Dec 2025

Valuation

Balanced
Rent vs. Price Growth
-1.6%p40
Months in status8
Data through Dec 2025Rent growth vs price growth (rent support). Note: Affordability and Valuation measure different structural dimensions and can diverge.
Factor Details

Factor Breakdown

Price Momentum83

12-month HPI change — higher = overheating

Permit Growth67

YoY permit change — higher = supply pressure

Permits per Capita91

Permits per 1,000 residents — higher = overbuilding risk

Affordability96

Mortgage payment / income — higher = more burdened

Employment6

12-month employment change (risk inverted)

Migration14

Net AGI migration (risk inverted)

Underlying Values

MetricValuePctile
Price Momentum+4.4%p83
Permit Growth+7.3%p67
Permits/1K Pop9.47p91
Affordability0.37p96
Employment+1.8%p6
Net AGI Migration+$264Kp14
National ContextDoes not affect score

Credit Conditions

Credit Regime

Stable

Normal expansion. Credit is available, transactions are healthy — no constraints on current growth momentum.

Bank Lending Standards
-5.7Normal
Rate Change (YoY)
-74 bpsNormal
Mortgage Risk Premium
+189 bpsElevated
Stable for 8 quartersData through 2026-Q1

Supply Pipeline

Supply Regime

Accumulating

Supply pipeline is building up while credit remains available. New units are accumulating in the system — watch for delivery pressure in coming quarters.

Pipeline Ratio
0.91High
Completion-Permit Divergence
-3.2 ppNormal
Accumulating for 3 quartersData through 2025-Q4
Local SignalsDoes not affect score

Metro Permit Activity

Permit Activity

Cooling
YoY Permit Growth
+7.3%Below norm

Raw signal — not the composite percentile

Relative to 2016–2019 norms for this metro

Builders are pulling back but demand remains healthy. A supply constraint could form — fewer new units entering a market that is still absorbing well.

Liquidity

Liquidity

Stable
Active Listings YoY+2.8%
Days on Market YoY-2.5%
AssessmentBalanced conditions
Stable for 30 monthsData through Dec 2025
Internal Structure

County-level structural analysis.

County-level structural analysis is not available for this metro due to fewer than 3 qualifying counties.

Score History
MonthScore
2025-1148
2025-0945
2025-0747
2025-0546
2025-0240
2025-0138
2024-1145
2024-1050
2024-0850
2024-0747
2024-0546
2024-0448
2024-0243
2023-1139
2023-1038
2023-0840
2023-0637
2023-0439
2023-0252
2022-1246
2022-1046
2022-0852
2022-0755
2022-0562
2022-0461
2022-0262
2022-0162
2021-1260
2021-1061
2021-0962
2021-0761
2021-0557
2021-0455
2021-0252
2021-0152
2020-1152
2020-0852
2020-0553
2020-0352
2019-1252
2019-1052
2019-0853
2019-0753
2019-0552
2019-0354
2019-0153
Data Vintages
Price (HPI)2025-Q3
Permits2025-12
Income2024
Employment2025-12
Migration2022