US Metro Real Estate Intelligence
Rankings/Homosassa Springs, FL

Homosassa Springs, FL

NeutralTier 1CBSA 26140Compare
Risk Rank: #106 of 274Month: 2026-06Score change (12m): -7
53score
Composite risk percentile vs 274 metros (higher = higher risk)

Executive Summary

Homosassa Springs's housing market shows average risk, ranking 106th of 274 metros. The market recently entered Recovery. Current conditions are balanced with stable liquidity. Early signs of stabilization — conditions may favor patient buyers.

Homosassa Springs has maintained relatively stable market conditions throughout the observation period, currently in Recovery.

Inventory is declining (-7% YoY), indicating a tight market with limited supply.

Rent growth is roughly keeping pace with price appreciation, suggesting valuations are not stretched.

Cycle Phase

RecoveryExpansionHypersupplyRecession
2 months in current phase·from Recovery

Market conditions are rebuilding after a correction period

20192020202120222023202420252026

Key Dynamics

Risk is primarily driven by affordability and permits per capita, while price momentum provides the most support.

Top Drivers

Affordabilityp100
Mortgage payment / income
Permits per Capitap96
Permits per 1,000 residents
Employmentp70
12-month employment change (risk inverted)

Market Signals

Inventory is declining (-7% YoY), indicating a tight market with limited supply.

Liquidity

Stable
Active Listings YoY
-7.3%p40
Days on Market YoY
+0.0%p45
Months in status2
Data through Jun 2026

Valuation

Balanced
Rent vs. Price Growth
+2.3%p88
Months in status2
Data through Jun 2026Rent growth vs price growth (rent support). Note: Affordability and Valuation measure different structural dimensions and can diverge.
Factor Details
Lower riskHigher risk
Low RiskBelow AvgNeutralElevatedHigh Risk
Price MomentumLow Risk
-0.6%p6

12-month HPI change — higher = overheating

Permit GrowthBelow Avg
-13.1%p26

YoY permit change — higher = supply pressure

Permits per CapitaHigh Risk
11.95p96

Permits per 1,000 residents — higher = overbuilding risk

AffordabilityHigh Risk
0.43p100

Mortgage payment / income — higher = more burdened

EmploymentElevated
+0.0%p70

12-month employment change (risk inverted)

MigrationLow Risk
+$119Kp20

Net AGI migration (risk inverted)

National Context

Credit Conditions

Credit Regime

Stable

Healthy recovery. Credit is flowing normally and transactions are steady — conditions favor continued rebuilding.

Bank Lending Standards
N/ANormal
Rate Change (YoY)
-5 bpsNormal
Mortgage Risk Premium
+194 bpsElevated
Stable for 10 quartersData through 2026-Q3

Supply Pipeline

Supply Regime

Accumulating

Supply pipeline is building up while credit remains available. New units are accumulating in the system — watch for delivery pressure in coming quarters.

Pipeline Ratio
0.90Elevated
Completion-Permit Divergence
-3.1 ppNormal
Accumulating for 5 quartersData through 2026-Q2
Local Signals

Metro Permit Activity

Permit Activity

Sharp Cooling
YoY Permit Growth
-13.1%Significant pullback

Raw signal — not the composite percentile

Relative to 2016–2019 norms for this metro

Significant supply pullback into healthy demand. A supply constraint is forming — pricing power is shifting to existing inventory holders.

Employment Concentration

Employment

Moderate
Largest SectorHealth Care 21.3%
QCEW 2024 annual averages
Internal Structure

County-level structural analysis.

County-level structural analysis is not available for this metro due to fewer than 3 qualifying counties.

Score History
MonthScore
2026-0553
2025-1257
2025-1170
2025-0974
2025-0660
2025-0363
2024-1261
2024-0955
2024-0663
2024-0375
2023-1262
2023-0969
2023-0654
2023-0366
2022-1264
2022-0966
2022-0666
2022-0373
2021-1275
2021-0973
2021-0676
2021-0364
2020-1266
2020-0965
2020-0767
2020-0472
2020-0163
2019-1077
2019-0764
2019-0475
2019-0374
2019-0177
Data Vintages
Price (HPI)2026-Q1
Permits2026-06
Income2024
Employment2026-06
Migration2023