Idaho Falls, ID
Executive Summary
Idaho Falls's housing market shows elevated risk, ranking 26th of 274 metros. The market recently entered Recovery. Current conditions are balanced with stable liquidity. Early signs of stabilization — conditions may favor patient buyers.
Idaho Falls experienced a market correction from mid-2025 through late 2025. The market is currently recovering.
Inventory is declining (-8% YoY), indicating a tight market with limited supply.
Rent growth is roughly keeping pace with price appreciation, suggesting valuations are not stretched.
Cycle Phase
Market conditions are rebuilding after a correction period
Key Dynamics
Risk is primarily driven by employment and permits per capita, while permit growth provides the most support.
Top Drivers
Market Signals
Inventory is declining (-8% YoY), indicating a tight market with limited supply.
Liquidity
Valuation
Factor Details
12-month HPI change — higher = overheating
YoY permit change — higher = supply pressure
Permits per 1,000 residents — higher = overbuilding risk
Mortgage payment / income — higher = more burdened
12-month employment change (risk inverted)
Net AGI migration (risk inverted)
National Context
Credit Conditions
Credit Regime
Healthy recovery. Credit is flowing normally and transactions are steady — conditions favor continued rebuilding.
Supply Pipeline
Supply Regime
Supply pipeline is building up while credit remains available. New units are accumulating in the system — watch for delivery pressure in coming quarters.
Local Signals
Metro Permit Activity
Permit Activity
Sharp CoolingRaw signal — not the composite percentile
Relative to 2016–2019 norms for this metro
Significant supply pullback into healthy demand. A supply constraint is forming — pricing power is shifting to existing inventory holders.
Employment Concentration
Employment
ConcentratedInternal Structure
County-level structural analysis.
County-level structural analysis is not available for this metro due to fewer than 3 qualifying counties.
Score History
| Month | Score |
|---|---|
| 2025-12 | 46 |
| 2025-10 | 54 |
| 2025-09 | 56 |
| 2025-08 | 58 |
| 2025-06 | 55 |
| 2025-05 | 59 |
| 2025-04 | 60 |
| 2025-02 | 56 |
| 2025-01 | 56 |
| 2024-11 | 74 |
| 2024-10 | 74 |
| 2024-09 | 63 |
| 2024-08 | 59 |
| 2024-06 | 58 |
| 2024-04 | 56 |
| 2024-03 | 56 |
| 2024-01 | 54 |
| 2023-12 | 51 |
| 2023-10 | 51 |
| 2023-09 | 53 |
| 2023-07 | 54 |
| 2023-05 | 55 |
| 2023-03 | 61 |
| 2023-02 | 57 |
| 2022-12 | 55 |
| 2022-10 | 58 |
| 2022-08 | 68 |
| 2022-07 | 68 |
| 2022-05 | 73 |
| 2022-03 | 72 |
| 2022-01 | 75 |
| 2021-11 | 73 |
| 2021-09 | 73 |
| 2021-08 | 73 |
| 2021-07 | 74 |
| 2021-05 | 73 |
| 2021-04 | 72 |
| 2021-02 | 67 |
| 2020-12 | 66 |
| 2020-10 | 66 |
| 2020-07 | 66 |
| 2020-05 | 64 |
| 2020-04 | 64 |
| 2020-03 | 65 |
| 2020-02 | 65 |
| 2019-12 | 64 |
| 2019-11 | 64 |
| 2019-09 | 64 |
| 2019-08 | 64 |
| 2019-06 | 64 |
| 2019-04 | 63 |
| 2019-02 | 63 |
| 2019-01 | 64 |