U.S. Metro Housing Market Rankings

June 2026 · 274 metros scored

Each metro scores 0–100 for housing cycle risk, derived from six public-data factors ranked against peers. How it works →

31 of 274metros

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Risk

Cycle

Momentum

Liquidity

Valuation

Permits

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Core Risk					Structural Drivers						Market Signals		Cycle		Context
#↑	Metro	Score	Risk Band	Chg	Price	Permits	Per Cap	Afford	Employ	Migr	Liquidity	Valuation	Diverg.	Cycle	Yield	S/L	Cuts	Emp	Value
3	Valdosta, GA46660	70	ElevatedElevated	0	100	47	68	65	91	51	Stress↓	Compressed↑	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	—	—	›
Structural Drivers Price100 Permits47 Per Cap68 Afford65 Employ91 Migr51 LiqStress↓ ValCompressed↑ CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
9	Odessa, TX36220	68	ElevatedElevated	▲ 7	38	78	77	68	70	77	Stress↑	Compressed↑	—	Recession	—	—	—	Div	—	›
Structural Drivers Price38 Permits78 Per Cap77 Afford68 Employ70 Migr77 LiqStress↑ ValCompressed↑ CycleRecession Full metro detail →
12	Oshkosh, WI36780	67	ElevatedElevated	▼ 2	47	95	72	46	88	56	Stress↓	Balanced↓	—	Recession	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price47 Permits95 Per Cap72 Afford46 Employ88 Migr56 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced↓ CycleRecession Full metro detail →
21	Appleton, WI11540	64	ElevatedElevated	▲ 2	24	98	71	16	89	84	Stress↑	Balanced—	—	Recession	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price24 Permits98 Per Cap71 Afford16 Employ89 Migr84 LiqStress↑ ValBalanced— CycleRecession Full metro detail →
28	Grand Junction, CO24300	63	ElevatedElevated	▲ 2	94	30	61	94	74	25	Stress↓	Balanced—	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price94 Permits30 Per Cap61 Afford94 Employ74 Migr25 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
31	Champaign, IL16580	62	ElevatedElevated	▼ 5	7	100	85	38	54	90	Stress↓	Balanced↓	High	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price7 Permits100 Per Cap85 Afford38 Employ54 Migr90 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced↓ DivergHigh CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
38	Roanoke, VA40220	60	NeutralNeutral	▲ 5	78	46	38	51	80	68	Stress↓	Balanced—	High	Hypersupply	—	—	—	—	—	›
Structural Drivers Price78 Permits46 Per Cap38 Afford51 Employ80 Migr68 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— DivergHigh CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
47	Janesville, WI27500	59	NeutralNeutral	▲ 1	79	63	28	63	79	41	Stress↑	Balanced—	—	Recession	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price79 Permits63 Per Cap28 Afford63 Employ79 Migr41 LiqStress↑ ValBalanced— CycleRecession Full metro detail →
64	Utica, NY46540	57	NeutralNeutral	▼ 5	97	47	4	61	61	73	Stress↓	Balanced↓	—	Recession	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price97 Permits47 Per Cap4 Afford61 Employ61 Migr73 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced↓ CycleRecession Full metro detail →
70	Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN17140	56	NeutralNeutral	▼ 2	75	82	47	11	25	95	Stress↓	Balanced—	Moderate	Hypersupply	—	—	—	—	—	›
Structural Drivers Price75 Permits82 Per Cap47 Afford11 Employ25 Migr95 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— DivergModerate CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
70	Savannah, GA42340	56	NeutralNeutral	▲ 3	1	79	97	85	44	33	Stress↓	Balanced—	Moderate	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price1 Permits79 Per Cap97 Afford85 Employ44 Migr33 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— DivergModerate CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
70	Medford, OR32780	56	NeutralNeutral	▼ 1	32	77	53	76	65	35	Stress↓	Balanced—	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price32 Permits77 Per Cap53 Afford76 Employ65 Migr35 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
80	Burlington, VT15540	55	NeutralNeutral	▼ 3	33	83	62	52	46	54	Stress↓	Balanced—	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price33 Permits83 Per Cap62 Afford52 Employ46 Migr54 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
92	Columbus, GA-AL17980	54	NeutralNeutral	▲ 1	78	35	16	49	72	75	Stress—	Balanced—	High	Recession	—	—	—	—	—	›
Structural Drivers Price78 Permits35 Per Cap16 Afford49 Employ72 Migr75 LiqStress— ValBalanced— DivergHigh CycleRecession Full metro detail →
92	Fayetteville, AR22220	54	NeutralNeutral	0	81	70	99	59	2	12	Stress↓	Balanced—	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Con	—	›
Structural Drivers Price81 Permits70 Per Cap99 Afford59 Employ2 Migr12 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
92	Springfield, MA44140	54	NeutralNeutral	▲ 2	78	78	2	63	14	91	Stress↑	Balanced—	—	Recession	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price78 Permits78 Per Cap2 Afford63 Employ14 Migr91 LiqStress↑ ValBalanced— CycleRecession Full metro detail →
106	Rochester, NY40380	53	NeutralNeutral	▲ 4	41	83	13	17	72	94	Stress↓	Balanced—	Moderate	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price41 Permits83 Per Cap13 Afford17 Employ72 Migr94 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— DivergModerate CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
136	Lafayette, IN29200	51	NeutralNeutral	▼ 12	87	4	90	34	5	88	Stress↓	Balanced—	—	Recession	—	—	—	—	—	›
Structural Drivers Price87 Permits4 Per Cap90 Afford34 Employ5 Migr88 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— CycleRecession Full metro detail →
136	Yakima, WA49420	51	NeutralNeutral	▲ 6	14	52	27	52	82	79	Stress↑	Balanced↓	—	Recession	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price14 Permits52 Per Cap27 Afford52 Employ82 Migr79 LiqStress↑ ValBalanced↓ CycleRecession Full metro detail →
146	Augusta, GA-SC12260	50	NeutralNeutral	▼ 3	91	17	67	41	26	57	Stress↑	Balanced↓	Moderate	Recession	—	—	—	Con	—	›
Structural Drivers Price91 Permits17 Per Cap67 Afford41 Employ26 Migr57 LiqStress↑ ValBalanced↓ DivergModerate CycleRecession Full metro detail →
155	Greensboro, NC24660	49	NeutralNeutral	▼ 2	32	49	60	42	29	82	Stress↓	Balanced—	High	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Div	—	›
Structural Drivers Price32 Permits49 Per Cap60 Afford42 Employ29 Migr82 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— DivergHigh CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
166	Worcester, MA49340	48	NeutralNeutral	▲ 9	68	43	21	28	36	93	Stress—	Balanced—	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price68 Permits43 Per Cap21 Afford28 Employ36 Migr93 LiqStress— ValBalanced— CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
175	Athens, GA12020	46	NeutralNeutral	▲ 7	54	3	56	97	0	64	Stress↓	Balanced↑	High	Hypersupply	—	—	—	—	—	›
Structural Drivers Price54 Permits3 Per Cap56 Afford97 Employ0 Migr64 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced↑ DivergHigh CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
193	Green Bay, WI24580	44	NeutralNeutral	▼ 2	66	54	63	27	21	34	Stress↑	Balanced—	High	Recession	—	—	—	—	—	›
Structural Drivers Price66 Permits54 Per Cap63 Afford27 Employ21 Migr34 LiqStress↑ ValBalanced— DivergHigh CycleRecession Full metro detail →
193	Olympia, WA36500	44	NeutralNeutral	▼ 6	10	85	71	26	49	23	Stress↓	Balanced—	—	Recession	—	—	—	Con	—	›
Structural Drivers Price10 Permits85 Per Cap71 Afford26 Employ49 Migr23 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— CycleRecession Full metro detail →
206	Winston, NC49180	43	NeutralNeutral	▲ 1	36	40	76	54	19	31	Stress↓	Balanced—	Moderate	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price36 Permits40 Per Cap76 Afford54 Employ19 Migr31 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— DivergModerate CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
211	Greenville, SC24860	42	NeutralNeutral	▲ 2	47	28	85	74	8	8	Stress↓	Balanced—	High	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price47 Permits28 Per Cap85 Afford74 Employ8 Migr8 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— DivergHigh CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →
218	Florence, AL22520	41	NeutralNeutral	▼ 6	12	92	29	39	28	48	Stress↑	Balanced—	—	Recession	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price12 Permits92 Per Cap29 Afford39 Employ28 Migr48 LiqStress↑ ValBalanced— CycleRecession Full metro detail →
231	Saginaw, MI40980	39	BelowBelow Average	▼ 1	47	48	3	27	35	73	Stress↑	Balanced↓	—	Recession	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price47 Permits48 Per Cap3 Afford27 Employ35 Migr73 LiqStress↑ ValBalanced↓ CycleRecession Full metro detail →
245	Tuscaloosa, AL46220	36	BelowBelow Average	0	11	38	22	60	10	77	Stress—	Balanced—	Moderate	Recession	—	—	—	—	—	›
Structural Drivers Price11 Permits38 Per Cap22 Afford60 Employ10 Migr77 LiqStress— ValBalanced— DivergModerate CycleRecession Full metro detail →
255	Las Cruces, NM29740	33	BelowBelow Average	▲ 1	24	23	42	57	3	50	Stress↓	Balanced—	—	Hypersupply	—	—	—	Mod	—	›
Structural Drivers Price24 Permits23 Per Cap42 Afford57 Employ3 Migr50 LiqStress↓ ValBalanced— CycleHypersupply Full metro detail →

31 of 274 metros shown