Executive Summary
Waterbury's housing market shows below-average risk, ranking 266th of 273 metros. The market recently entered Expansion. Broad-based growth with healthy fundamentals.
Waterbury has maintained relatively stable market conditions throughout the observation period, currently in Expansion.
Key Dynamics
Risk is primarily driven by price momentum and migration, while permits per capita provides the most support.
Top Drivers
Factor Details
12-month HPI change — higher = overheating
YoY permit change — higher = supply pressure
Permits per 1,000 residents — higher = overbuilding risk
Mortgage payment / income — higher = more burdened
12-month employment change (risk inverted)
Net AGI migration (risk inverted)
National Context
Credit Conditions
Credit Regime
Supply Pipeline
Supply Regime
Supply pipeline is building up while credit remains available. New units are accumulating in the system — watch for delivery pressure in coming quarters.
Local Signals
Employment Concentration
Employment
ModerateInternal Structure
County-level structural analysis.
County-level structural analysis is not available for this metro due to fewer than 3 qualifying counties.
Score History
| Month | Score |
|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 39 |
| 2025-12 | 51 |