Rankings/Warner Robins, GA

Warner Robins, GA

NeutralTier 1CBSA 47580Compare

Risk Rank: #175 of 274Month: 2026-06Score change (12m):— +2

46score

Composite risk percentile vs 274 metros (higher = higher risk)

Executive Summary

Warner Robins's housing market shows average risk, ranking 175th of 274 metros. The market recently entered Recovery. Inventory is growing moderately (+11% YoY) with stable liquidity. Early signs of stabilization — conditions may favor patient buyers.

Warner Robins experienced a market correction from late 2025 through late 2025. The market is currently recovering.

Inventory is growing at a moderate +11% pace with homes taking -9% longer to sell — within normal ranges.

Rent growth is roughly keeping pace with price appreciation, suggesting valuations are not stretched.

Cycle Phase

RecoveryExpansionHypersupplyRecession

2 months in current phase·from Recovery

Market conditions are rebuilding after a correction period

Key Dynamics

Risk is primarily driven by employment and permits per capita, while affordability provides the most support.

Top Drivers

Employmentp98

12-month employment change (risk inverted)

Permits per Capitap75

Permits per 1,000 residents

Migrationp50

Net AGI migration (risk inverted)

Market Signals

Inventory is growing at a moderate +11% pace with homes taking -9% longer to sell — within normal ranges.

Liquidity

Stable—

Active Listings YoY

+10.5%p60

Days on Market YoY

-9.1%p30

Months in status2

Data through Jun 2026

Valuation

Balanced↓

Rent vs. Price Growth

+2.2%p88

Months in status2

Data through Jun 2026Rent growth vs price growth (rent support). Note: Affordability and Valuation measure different structural dimensions and can diverge.

Factor Details

Lower riskHigher risk

Low RiskBelow AvgNeutralElevatedHigh Risk

Price MomentumLow Risk

-0.5%p7

12-month HPI change — higher = overheating

Permit GrowthNeutral

-4.1%p42

YoY permit change — higher = supply pressure

Permits per CapitaElevated

6.69p75

Permits per 1,000 residents — higher = overbuilding risk

AffordabilityLow Risk

0.22p6

Mortgage payment / income — higher = more burdened

EmploymentHigh Risk

-1.9%p98

12-month employment change (risk inverted)

MigrationNeutral

+$4Kp50

Net AGI migration (risk inverted)

National Context

Credit Conditions

Credit Regime

Stable—

Healthy recovery. Credit is flowing normally and transactions are steady — conditions favor continued rebuilding.

Bank Lending Standards

N/ANormal

Rate Change (YoY)

-5 bpsNormal

Mortgage Risk Premium

+194 bpsElevated

Stable for 10 quartersData through 2026-Q3

Supply Pipeline

Supply Regime

Accumulating—

Supply pipeline is building up while credit remains available. New units are accumulating in the system — watch for delivery pressure in coming quarters.

Pipeline Ratio

0.90Elevated

Completion-Permit Divergence

-3.1 ppNormal

Accumulating for 5 quartersData through 2026-Q2

Local Signals

Metro Permit Activity

Permit Activity

Cooling

YoY Permit Growth

-4.1%Below norm

Raw signal — not the composite percentile

Relative to 2016–2019 norms for this metro

Builders are pulling back but demand remains healthy. A supply constraint could form — fewer new units entering a market that is still absorbing well.

Employment Concentration

Employment

Concentrated

Largest SectorGovernment 41%

QCEW 2024 annual averages

Internal Structure

County-level structural analysis.

County-level structural analysis is not available for this metro due to fewer than 3 qualifying counties.

Score History

Month	Phase	Score	Price	Permits	Afford	Employ	Migr
2026-05	Rec	44	20	17	6	98	50
2025-12	Ress	41	6	13	6	95	50
2025-10	Ress	60	92	31	7	99	45
2025-09	Hyp	57	85	31	7	91	45
2025-07	Ress	42	49	31	7	34	45
2025-05	Ress	44	22	31	6	76	45
2025-04	Exp	40	30	31	6	43	45
2025-02	Exp	53	97	31	10	51	45
2024-12	Rec	38	31	31	5	34	45
2024-10	Rec	35	33	31	5	14	45
2024-09	Exp	50	92	31	9	40	45
2024-07	Exp	52	91	31	9	50	45
2024-06	Rec	44	67	31	7	31	45
2024-04	Rec	41	40	31	7	41	45
2024-03	Hyp	38	26	31	7	33	45
2024-02	Rec	40	28	31	7	42	45
2023-12	Rec	43	46	31	5	48	45
2023-11	Hyp	43	62	31	5	30	45
2023-09	Hyp	42	80	31	5	9	45
2023-08	Rec	46	88	31	5	23	45
2023-07	Hyp	52	91	31	5	53	45
2023-05	Hyp	52	100	31	7	48	45
2023-04	Ress	56	100	31	7	72	45
2023-02	Ress	52	98	31	7	50	45
2022-11	Ress	57	85	31	7	88	45
2022-10	Hyp	58	85	31	7	93	45
2022-08	Hyp	56	74	31	5	94	45
2022-06	Ress	51	68	31	5	75	45
2022-04	Ress	50	65	31	5	73	45
2022-01	Hyp	51	61	31	5	81	45
2021-12	Rec	50	44	31	2	88	51
2021-11	Ress	49	46	31	2	81	51
2021-10	Hyp	46	47	31	2	59	51
2021-09	Exp	45	24	31	1	79	51
2021-07	Exp	46	21	31	1	86	51
2021-04	Rec	40	20	31	1	56	51
2021-02	Rec	35	14	31	1	27	51
2021-01	Exp	32	7	31	1	19	51
2020-11	Exp	31	10	31	2	19	38
2020-10	Rec	32	16	31	2	24	38
2020-08	Rec	38	57	31	2	19	38
2020-05	Rec	30	18	31	2	10	38
2020-02	Exp	44	96	31	4	13	38
2019-12	Exp	38	68	31	3	0	40
2019-09	Rec	27	4	31	2	3	40
2019-07	Rec	27	6	31	2	0	40
2019-06	Exp	39	72	31	3	4	40
2019-04	Exp	42	74	31	3	17	40
2019-03	Rec	30	15	31	2	11	40
2019-01	Rec	32	19	31	2	17	40

Data Vintages

Price (HPI)2026-Q1

Permits2026-06

Income2024

Employment2026-06

Migration2023