US Metro Real Estate Intelligence
Rankings/Spokane-Spokane Valley, WA

Spokane-Spokane Valley, WA

NeutralTier 1CBSA 44060Compare
Risk Rank: #128 of 273Month: 2026-08Score change (12m):↓ -6
50score
Composite risk percentile vs 273 metros (higher = higher risk)

Executive Summary

Spokane's housing market shows average risk, ranking 128th of 273 metros. The market recently entered Recovery. Current conditions are balanced with stable liquidity. Early signs of stabilization — conditions may favor patient buyers.

Spokane experienced a market correction from late 2025 through late 2025. The market is currently recovering.

Inventory is growing at a moderate +8% pace with homes taking +18% longer to sell — within normal ranges.

Rent growth is roughly keeping pace with price appreciation, suggesting valuations are not stretched.

Cycle Phase

RecoveryExpansionHypersupplyRecession
1 month in current phase

Market conditions are rebuilding after a correction period

20192020202120222023202420252026

Key Dynamics

Risk is primarily driven by employment and permits per capita, while price momentum provides the most support.

Top Drivers

Employmentp83
12-month employment change (risk inverted)
Permits per Capitap64
Permits per 1,000 residents
Affordabilityp62
Mortgage payment / income

Market Signals

Inventory is growing at a moderate +8% pace with homes taking +18% longer to sell — within normal ranges.

Liquidity

Stable↓
Active Listings YoY
+8.2%p57
Days on Market YoY
+18.2%p79
Months in status1
Data through Aug 2026

Valuation

Balanced—
Rent vs. Price Growth
+3.2%p93
Months in status1
Data through Aug 2026Rent growth vs price growth (rent support). Note: Affordability and Valuation measure different structural dimensions and can diverge.
Factor Details
Lower riskHigher risk
Low RiskBelow AvgNeutralElevatedHigh Risk
Price MomentumLow Risk
+0.3%p16

12-month HPI change — higher = overheating

Permit GrowthNeutral
+0.7%p50

YoY permit change — higher = supply pressure

Permits per CapitaElevated
5.37p64

Permits per 1,000 residents — higher = overbuilding risk

AffordabilityElevated
0.31p62

Mortgage payment / income — higher = more burdened

EmploymentHigh Risk
-0.6%p83

12-month employment change (risk inverted)

MigrationBelow Avg
+$84Kp24

Net AGI migration (risk inverted)

National Context

Credit Conditions

Credit Regime

Stable—

Healthy recovery. Credit is flowing normally and transactions are steady — conditions favor continued rebuilding.

Bank Lending Standards
+0.0Normal
Rate Change (YoY)
+11 bpsNormal
Mortgage Risk Premium
+196 bpsElevated
Stable for 10 quartersData through 2026-Q3

Supply Pipeline

Supply Regime

Accumulating—

Supply pipeline is building up while credit remains available. New units are accumulating in the system — watch for delivery pressure in coming quarters.

Pipeline Ratio
0.89Elevated
Completion-Permit Divergence
-19.2 ppNormal
Accumulating for 6 quartersData through 2026-Q3
Local Signals

Metro Permit Activity

Permit Activity

Normal
YoY Permit Growth
+0.7%Within norm

Raw signal — not the composite percentile

Relative to 2016–2019 norms for this metro

Supply and demand are in equilibrium. No unusual activity on either side of the market.

Employment Concentration

Employment

Moderate
Largest SectorHealth Care 22.1%
QCEW 2024 annual averages
Internal Structure

County-level structural analysis.

County-level structural analysis is not available for this metro due to fewer than 3 qualifying counties.

Score History
MonthScore
2026-0641
2025-1247
2025-1154
2025-1056
2025-0856
2025-0656
2025-0356
2025-0256
2024-1250
2024-1052
2024-0950
2024-0848
2024-0652
2024-0548
2024-0345
2024-0245
2023-1251
2023-1148
2023-0950
2023-0751
2023-0652
2023-0451
2023-0253
2022-1254
2022-1056
2022-0856
2022-0658
2022-0356
2022-0254
2021-1254
2021-1154
2021-0956
2021-0658
2021-0363
2021-0263
2020-1266
2020-0963
2020-0661
2020-0456
2020-0255
2019-1159
2019-0958
2019-0857
2019-0658
2019-0360
2019-0159
Data Vintages
Price (HPI)2026-Q2
Permits2026-08
Income2024
Employment2026-08
Migration2023