US Metro Real Estate Intelligence
Rankings/Slidell-Mandeville-Covington, LA

Slidell-Mandeville-Covington, LA

Below AverageTier 1CBSA 43640Compare
Risk Rank: #273 of 287Month: 2025-12
25score
Composite risk percentile vs 287 metros (higher = higher risk)

Executive Summary

Slidell's housing market shows below-average risk, ranking 273rd of 287 metros. The market recently entered Expansion. Broad-based growth with healthy fundamentals.

Key Dynamics

Risk is primarily driven by permit growth and permits per capita, while employment provides the most support.

Top Drivers

Permit Growthp59
YoY permit change
Permits per Capitap51
Permits per 1,000 residents
Migrationp28
Net AGI migration (risk inverted)
Factor Details
Lower riskHigher risk
Low RiskBelow AvgNeutralElevatedHigh Risk
Price MomentumLow Risk
-0.5%p4

12-month HPI change — higher = overheating

Permit GrowthNeutral
+3.7%p59

YoY permit change — higher = supply pressure

Permits per CapitaNeutral
4.07p51

Permits per 1,000 residents — higher = overbuilding risk

AffordabilityLow Risk
0.20p4

Mortgage payment / income — higher = more burdened

EmploymentLow Risk
+2.1%p4

12-month employment change (risk inverted)

MigrationBelow Avg
+$55Kp28

Net AGI migration (risk inverted)

National Context

Credit Conditions

Credit Regime

Stable
Bank Lending Standards
-5.7Normal
Rate Change (YoY)
-74 bpsNormal
Mortgage Risk Premium
+191 bpsElevated
Stable for 8 quartersData through 2026-Q1

Supply Pipeline

Supply Regime

Accumulating

Supply pipeline is building up while credit remains available. New units are accumulating in the system — watch for delivery pressure in coming quarters.

Pipeline Ratio
0.92High
Completion-Permit Divergence
+1.9 ppNormal
Accumulating for 4 quartersData through 2026-Q1
Local Signals

Employment Concentration

Employment

Moderate
Largest SectorHealth Care 15.9%
QCEW 2024 annual averages
Internal Structure

County-level structural analysis.

County-level structural analysis is not available for this metro due to fewer than 3 qualifying counties.

Score History
First scoring month — history will build with each monthly refresh.
Data Vintages
Price (HPI)2025-Q4
Permits2026-01
Income2024
Employment2025-12
Migration2023