US Metro Real Estate Intelligence
Rankings/Lexington Park, MD

Lexington Park, MD

Below AverageTier 1CBSA 30500Compare
Risk Rank: #271 of 274Month: 2026-05
25score
Composite risk percentile vs 274 metros (higher = higher risk)

Executive Summary

Lexington Park's housing market shows below-average risk, ranking 271st of 274 metros. The market recently entered Expansion. Broad-based growth with healthy fundamentals.

Lexington Park has maintained relatively stable market conditions throughout the observation period, currently in Expansion.

Key Dynamics

Risk is primarily driven by employment and migration, while affordability provides the most support.

Top Drivers

Employmentp97
12-month employment change (risk inverted)
Migrationp36
Net AGI migration (risk inverted)
Permits per Capitap10
Permits per 1,000 residents
Factor Details
Lower riskHigher risk
Low RiskBelow AvgNeutralElevatedHigh Risk
Price MomentumLow Risk
-0.6%p5

12-month HPI change — higher = overheating

Permit GrowthLow Risk
-37.3%p4

YoY permit change — higher = supply pressure

Permits per CapitaLow Risk
1.46p10

Permits per 1,000 residents — higher = overbuilding risk

AffordabilityLow Risk
0.16p0

Mortgage payment / income — higher = more burdened

EmploymentHigh Risk
-2.0%p97

12-month employment change (risk inverted)

MigrationBelow Avg
+$39Kp36

Net AGI migration (risk inverted)

National Context

Credit Conditions

Credit Regime

Stable
Bank Lending Standards
-3.7Normal
Rate Change (YoY)
-38 bpsNormal
Mortgage Risk Premium
+199 bpsElevated
Stable for 9 quartersData through 2026-Q2

Supply Pipeline

Supply Regime

Accumulating

Supply pipeline is building up while credit remains available. New units are accumulating in the system — watch for delivery pressure in coming quarters.

Pipeline Ratio
0.90Elevated
Completion-Permit Divergence
-5.9 ppNormal
Accumulating for 5 quartersData through 2026-Q2
Local Signals

Employment Concentration

Employment

Moderate
Largest SectorProfessional & Technical 22.3%
QCEW 2024 annual averages
Internal Structure

County-level structural analysis.

County-level structural analysis is not available for this metro due to fewer than 3 qualifying counties.

Score History
MonthScore
2025-1249
Data Vintages
Price (HPI)2026-Q1
Permits2026-05
Income2024
Employment2026-05
Migration2023