US Metro Real Estate Intelligence
Rankings/Kennewick-Richland, WA

Kennewick-Richland, WA

NeutralTier 1CBSA 28420Compare
Risk Rank: #122 of 273Month: 2026-08Score change (12m):— 0
51score
Composite risk percentile vs 273 metros (higher = higher risk)

Executive Summary

Kennewick's housing market shows average risk, ranking 122nd of 273 metros. The market recently entered Expansion. Current conditions are balanced with stable liquidity. Broad-based growth with healthy fundamentals.

Kennewick experienced a market correction from mid-2025 through late 2025. The market has since normalized and entered Expansion.

Inventory is growing at a moderate +9% pace with homes taking -11% longer to sell — within normal ranges.

Rent growth is roughly keeping pace with price appreciation, suggesting valuations are not stretched.

Cycle Phase

RecoveryExpansionHypersupplyRecession
1 month in current phase

Normal growth conditions with balanced fundamentals

20192020202120222023202420252026

Key Dynamics

Risk is primarily driven by permits per capita and permit growth, while price momentum provides the most support.

Top Drivers

Permits per Capitap81
Permits per 1,000 residents
Permit Growthp79
YoY permit change
Employmentp64
12-month employment change (risk inverted)

Market Signals

Inventory is growing at a moderate +9% pace with homes taking -11% longer to sell — within normal ranges.

Liquidity

Stable↑
Active Listings YoY
+9.3%p58
Days on Market YoY
-10.5%p28
Months in status1
Data through Aug 2026

Valuation

Balanced—
Rent vs. Price Growth
-0.7%p53
Months in status1
Data through Aug 2026Rent growth vs price growth (rent support). Note: Affordability and Valuation measure different structural dimensions and can diverge.
Factor Details
Lower riskHigher risk
Low RiskBelow AvgNeutralElevatedHigh Risk
Price MomentumBelow Avg
+0.8%p21

12-month HPI change — higher = overheating

Permit GrowthElevated
+21.5%p79

YoY permit change — higher = supply pressure

Permits per CapitaHigh Risk
7.79p81

Permits per 1,000 residents — higher = overbuilding risk

AffordabilityBelow Avg
0.26p24

Mortgage payment / income — higher = more burdened

EmploymentElevated
+0.0%p64

12-month employment change (risk inverted)

MigrationBelow Avg
+$45Kp35

Net AGI migration (risk inverted)

National Context

Credit Conditions

Credit Regime

Stable—

Normal expansion. Credit is available, transactions are healthy — no constraints on current growth momentum.

Bank Lending Standards
+0.0Normal
Rate Change (YoY)
+11 bpsNormal
Mortgage Risk Premium
+196 bpsElevated
Stable for 10 quartersData through 2026-Q3

Supply Pipeline

Supply Regime

Accumulating—

Supply pipeline is building up while credit remains available. New units are accumulating in the system — watch for delivery pressure in coming quarters.

Pipeline Ratio
0.89Elevated
Completion-Permit Divergence
-19.2 ppNormal
Accumulating for 6 quartersData through 2026-Q3
Local Signals

Metro Permit Activity

Permit Activity

Normal
YoY Permit Growth
+21.5%Within norm

Raw signal — not the composite percentile

Relative to 2016–2019 norms for this metro

Supply and demand are in equilibrium. No unusual activity on either side of the market.

Employment Concentration

Employment

Moderate
Largest SectorGovernment 16.9%
QCEW 2024 annual averages
Internal Structure

County-level structural analysis.

County-level structural analysis is not available for this metro due to fewer than 3 qualifying counties.

Score History
MonthScore
2026-0652
2025-1251
2025-1057
2025-0851
2025-0647
2025-0543
2025-0340
2025-0140
2024-1237
2024-1037
2024-0841
2024-0643
2024-0445
2024-0246
2023-1152
2023-0950
2023-0852
2023-0750
2023-0548
2023-0452
2023-0258
2022-1251
2022-1054
2022-0854
2022-0758
2022-0560
2022-0253
2022-0153
2021-1152
2021-0854
2021-0751
2021-0554
2021-0459
2021-0257
2021-0158
2020-1161
2020-0861
2020-0764
2020-0562
2020-0458
2020-0256
2020-0159
2019-1158
2019-0857
2019-0656
2019-0457
2019-0364
2019-0157
Data Vintages
Price (HPI)2026-Q2
Permits2026-08
Income2024
Employment2026-08
Migration2023