US Metro Real Estate Intelligence
Rankings/Huntsville, AL

Huntsville, AL

NeutralTier 1CBSA 26620Compare
Risk Rank: #213 of 287Month: 2025-12Score change (12m): +7
42score
Composite risk percentile vs 287 metros (higher = higher risk)

Executive Summary

Huntsville's housing market shows average risk, ranking 213th of 287 metros. The market recently entered Expansion. Current conditions are balanced with stable liquidity. Broad-based growth with healthy fundamentals.

Huntsville experienced a market correction from early 2025 through early 2025. The market has since normalized and entered Expansion.

Inventory is roughly flat (+5% YoY) with homes selling at a normal pace — a balanced market.

Rent growth is roughly keeping pace with price appreciation, suggesting valuations are not stretched.

Cycle Phase

RecoveryExpansionHypersupplyRecession
1 month in current phase·from Recovery

Normal growth conditions with balanced fundamentals

2019202020212022202320242025

Key Dynamics

Risk is primarily driven by permits per capita and price momentum, while affordability provides the most support.

Top Drivers

Permits per Capitap88
Permits per 1,000 residents
Price Momentump68
12-month HPI change
Employmentp33
12-month employment change (risk inverted)

Market Signals

Inventory is roughly flat (+5% YoY) with homes selling at a normal pace — a balanced market.

Liquidity

Stable
Active Listings YoY
+4.8%p54
Days on Market YoY
+7.1%p62
Months in status4
Data through Dec 2025

Valuation

Balanced
Rent vs. Price Growth
-2.6%p27
Months in status12
Data through Dec 2025Rent growth vs price growth (rent support). Note: Affordability and Valuation measure different structural dimensions and can diverge.
Factor Details
Lower riskHigher risk
Low RiskBelow AvgNeutralElevatedHigh Risk
Price MomentumElevated
+4.0%p68

12-month HPI change — higher = overheating

Permit GrowthBelow Avg
-13.2%p30

YoY permit change — higher = supply pressure

Permits per CapitaHigh Risk
8.83p88

Permits per 1,000 residents — higher = overbuilding risk

AffordabilityLow Risk
0.22p10

Mortgage payment / income — higher = more burdened

EmploymentBelow Avg
+0.7%p33

12-month employment change (risk inverted)

MigrationBelow Avg
+$98Kp26

Net AGI migration (risk inverted)

National Context

Credit Conditions

Credit Regime

Stable

Normal expansion. Credit is available, transactions are healthy — no constraints on current growth momentum.

Bank Lending Standards
-5.7Normal
Rate Change (YoY)
-76 bpsNormal
Mortgage Risk Premium
+191 bpsElevated
Stable for 8 quartersData through 2026-Q1

Supply Pipeline

Supply Regime

Accumulating

Supply pipeline is building up while credit remains available. New units are accumulating in the system — watch for delivery pressure in coming quarters.

Pipeline Ratio
0.92High
Completion-Permit Divergence
+1.9 ppNormal
Accumulating for 4 quartersData through 2026-Q1
Local Signals

Metro Permit Activity

Permit Activity

Sharp Cooling
YoY Permit Growth
-13.2%Significant pullback

Raw signal — not the composite percentile

Relative to 2016–2019 norms for this metro

Significant supply pullback into healthy demand. A supply constraint is forming — pricing power is shifting to existing inventory holders.

Employment Concentration

Employment

Moderate
Largest SectorGovernment 22%
QCEW 2024 annual averages
Internal Structure

County-level structural analysis.

County-level structural analysis is not available for this metro due to fewer than 3 qualifying counties.

Score History
MonthScore
2025-1131
2025-0928
2025-0828
2025-0632
2025-0331
2025-0130
2024-1235
2024-1037
2024-0837
2024-0735
2024-0629
2024-0429
2024-0334
2024-0234
2023-1228
2023-1030
2023-0732
2023-0435
2023-0235
2022-1235
2022-0940
2022-0742
2022-0546
2022-0447
2022-0348
2022-0247
2021-1251
2021-1150
2021-0943
2021-0643
2021-0447
2021-0241
2020-1243
2020-1143
2020-0943
2020-0842
2020-0643
2020-0543
2020-0343
2020-0243
2019-1242
2019-0940
2019-0740
2019-0439
2019-0337
2019-0137
Data Vintages
Price (HPI)2025-Q4
Permits2025-12
Income2024
Employment2025-12
Migration2022