US Metro Real Estate Intelligence
Rankings/Huntsville, AL

Huntsville, AL

NeutralTier 1CBSA 26620Compare
Risk Rank: #221 of 273Month: 2026-08Score change (12m):↑ +13
41score
Composite risk percentile vs 273 metros (higher = higher risk)

Executive Summary

Huntsville's housing market shows average risk, ranking 221st of 273 metros. The market recently entered Expansion. Inventory is growing moderately (+12% YoY) with stable liquidity. Broad-based growth with healthy fundamentals.

Huntsville experienced a market correction from early 2025 through early 2025. The market has since normalized and entered Expansion.

Inventory is growing at a moderate +12% pace with homes taking +3% longer to sell — within normal ranges.

Rent growth is roughly keeping pace with price appreciation, suggesting valuations are not stretched.

Cycle Phase

RecoveryExpansionHypersupplyRecession
1 month in current phase

Normal growth conditions with balanced fundamentals

20192020202120222023202420252026

Key Dynamics

Risk is primarily driven by permits per capita and permit growth, while employment provides the most support.

Top Drivers

Permits per Capitap87
Permits per 1,000 residents
Permit Growthp65
YoY permit change
Price Momentump58
12-month HPI change

Market Signals

Inventory is growing at a moderate +12% pace with homes taking +3% longer to sell — within normal ranges.

Liquidity

Stable—
Active Listings YoY
+12.4%p62
Days on Market YoY
+2.9%p54
Months in status1
Data through Aug 2026

Valuation

Balanced—
Rent vs. Price Growth
-0.4%p58
Months in status1
Data through Aug 2026Rent growth vs price growth (rent support). Note: Affordability and Valuation measure different structural dimensions and can diverge.
Factor Details
Lower riskHigher risk
Low RiskBelow AvgNeutralElevatedHigh Risk
Price MomentumNeutral
+2.7%p58

12-month HPI change — higher = overheating

Permit GrowthElevated
+9.8%p65

YoY permit change — higher = supply pressure

Permits per CapitaHigh Risk
8.90p87

Permits per 1,000 residents — higher = overbuilding risk

AffordabilityLow Risk
0.23p9

Mortgage payment / income — higher = more burdened

EmploymentLow Risk
+1.8%p7

12-month employment change (risk inverted)

MigrationLow Risk
+$122Kp19

Net AGI migration (risk inverted)

National Context

Credit Conditions

Credit Regime

Stable—

Normal expansion. Credit is available, transactions are healthy — no constraints on current growth momentum.

Bank Lending Standards
+0.0Normal
Rate Change (YoY)
+11 bpsNormal
Mortgage Risk Premium
+196 bpsElevated
Stable for 10 quartersData through 2026-Q3

Supply Pipeline

Supply Regime

Accumulating—

Supply pipeline is building up while credit remains available. New units are accumulating in the system — watch for delivery pressure in coming quarters.

Pipeline Ratio
0.89Elevated
Completion-Permit Divergence
-19.2 ppNormal
Accumulating for 6 quartersData through 2026-Q3
Local Signals

Metro Permit Activity

Permit Activity

Normal
YoY Permit Growth
+9.8%Within norm

Raw signal — not the composite percentile

Relative to 2016–2019 norms for this metro

Supply and demand are in equilibrium. No unusual activity on either side of the market.

Employment Concentration

Employment

Moderate
Largest SectorGovernment 22%
QCEW 2024 annual averages
Internal Structure

County-level structural analysis.

County-level structural analysis is not available for this metro due to fewer than 3 qualifying counties.

Score History
MonthScore
2026-0641
2025-1241
2025-1131
2025-0928
2025-0828
2025-0632
2025-0331
2025-0130
2024-1235
2024-1037
2024-0837
2024-0735
2024-0629
2024-0429
2024-0334
2024-0234
2023-1228
2023-1030
2023-0732
2023-0435
2023-0235
2022-1235
2022-0940
2022-0742
2022-0546
2022-0447
2022-0348
2022-0247
2021-1251
2021-1150
2021-0943
2021-0643
2021-0447
2021-0241
2020-1243
2020-1143
2020-0943
2020-0842
2020-0643
2020-0543
2020-0343
2020-0243
2019-1242
2019-0940
2019-0740
2019-0439
2019-0337
2019-0137
Data Vintages
Price (HPI)2026-Q2
Permits2026-08
Income2024
Employment2026-08
Migration2023