US Metro Real Estate Intelligence
Rankings/Houma-Bayou Cane-Thibodaux, LA

Houma-Bayou Cane-Thibodaux, LA

NeutralTier 1CBSA 26380Compare
Risk Rank: #123 of 287Month: 2025-12Score change (12m): +4
51score
Composite risk percentile vs 287 metros (higher = higher risk)

Executive Summary

Houma's housing market shows average risk, ranking 123rd of 287 metros. The market recently entered Expansion. Inventory is growing moderately (+13% YoY) with stable liquidity. Broad-based growth with healthy fundamentals.

Houma experienced a market correction from early 2024 through mid-2024. The market has since normalized and entered Expansion.

Inventory is growing at a moderate +13% pace with homes taking -4% longer to sell — within normal ranges.

Rent growth is roughly keeping pace with price appreciation, suggesting valuations are not stretched.

Cycle Phase

RecoveryExpansionHypersupplyRecession
1 month in current phase·from Hypersupply

Normal growth conditions with balanced fundamentals

2019202020212022202320242025

Key Dynamics

Risk is primarily driven by employment and migration, while price momentum provides the most support.

Top Drivers

Employmentp88
12-month employment change (risk inverted)
Migrationp74
Net AGI migration (risk inverted)
Affordabilityp53
Mortgage payment / income

Market Signals

Inventory is growing at a moderate +13% pace with homes taking -4% longer to sell — within normal ranges.

Liquidity

Stable
Active Listings YoY
+12.8%p62
Days on Market YoY
-3.5%p41
Months in status1
Data through Dec 2025

Valuation

Balanced
Rent vs. Price Growth
+3.5%p94
Months in status7
Data through Dec 2025Rent growth vs price growth (rent support). Note: Affordability and Valuation measure different structural dimensions and can diverge.
Factor Details
Lower riskHigher risk
Low RiskBelow AvgNeutralElevatedHigh Risk
Price MomentumLow Risk
+0.7%p15

12-month HPI change — higher = overheating

Permit GrowthNeutral
-5.0%p42

YoY permit change — higher = supply pressure

Permits per CapitaBelow Avg
2.90p35

Permits per 1,000 residents — higher = overbuilding risk

AffordabilityNeutral
0.28p53

Mortgage payment / income — higher = more burdened

EmploymentHigh Risk
-0.7%p88

12-month employment change (risk inverted)

MigrationElevated
-$25Kp74

Net AGI migration (risk inverted)

National Context

Credit Conditions

Credit Regime

Stable

Normal expansion. Credit is available, transactions are healthy — no constraints on current growth momentum.

Bank Lending Standards
-5.7Normal
Rate Change (YoY)
-74 bpsNormal
Mortgage Risk Premium
+191 bpsElevated
Stable for 8 quartersData through 2026-Q1

Supply Pipeline

Supply Regime

Accumulating

Supply pipeline is building up while credit remains available. New units are accumulating in the system — watch for delivery pressure in coming quarters.

Pipeline Ratio
0.92High
Completion-Permit Divergence
+1.9 ppNormal
Accumulating for 4 quartersData through 2026-Q1
Local Signals

Metro Permit Activity

Permit Activity

Normal
YoY Permit Growth
-5.0%Within norm

Raw signal — not the composite percentile

Relative to 2016–2019 norms for this metro

Based on limited permit volume

Supply and demand are in equilibrium. No unusual activity on either side of the market.

Employment Concentration

Employment

Diversified
Largest SectorHealth Care 14.4%
QCEW 2024 annual averages
Internal Structure

County-level structural analysis.

County-level structural analysis is not available for this metro due to fewer than 3 qualifying counties.

Score History
MonthScore
2025-1158
2025-1062
2025-0955
2025-0759
2025-0656
2025-0454
2025-0152
2024-1247
2024-1148
2024-1048
2024-0850
2024-0650
2024-0450
2024-0247
2024-0147
2023-1146
2023-0840
2023-0543
2023-0242
2023-0140
2022-1142
2022-0855
2022-0654
2022-0356
2021-1251
2021-1051
2021-0952
2021-0747
2021-0452
2021-0248
2021-0148
2020-1152
2020-0958
2020-0756
2020-0448
2020-0356
2020-0154
2019-1054
2019-0851
2019-0656
2019-0456
2019-0155
Data Vintages
Price (HPI)2025-Q4
Permits2026-01
Income2024
Employment2025-12
Migration2023