US Metro Real Estate Intelligence
Rankings/Houma-Bayou Cane-Thibodaux, LA

Houma-Bayou Cane-Thibodaux, LA

NeutralTier 1CBSA 26380Compare
Risk Rank: #185 of 273Month: 2026-08Score change (12m):↓ -14
45score
Composite risk percentile vs 273 metros (higher = higher risk)

Executive Summary

Houma's housing market shows average risk, ranking 185th of 273 metros. The market recently entered Expansion. Inventory is growing moderately (-13% YoY) with stable liquidity. Broad-based growth with healthy fundamentals.

Houma experienced a market correction from early 2024 through mid-2024. The market has since normalized and entered Expansion.

Inventory is declining (-13% YoY), indicating a tight market with limited supply.

Rent growth is roughly keeping pace with price appreciation, suggesting valuations are not stretched.

Cycle Phase

RecoveryExpansionHypersupplyRecession
1 month in current phase

Normal growth conditions with balanced fundamentals

20192020202120222023202420252026

Key Dynamics

Risk is primarily driven by migration and affordability, while permits per capita provides the most support.

Top Drivers

Migrationp75
Net AGI migration (risk inverted)
Affordabilityp52
Mortgage payment / income
Employmentp44
12-month employment change (risk inverted)

Market Signals

Inventory is declining (-13% YoY), indicating a tight market with limited supply.

Liquidity

Stable—
Active Listings YoY
-13.0%p33
Days on Market YoY
-3.0%p41
Months in status1
Data through Aug 2026

Valuation

Balanced—
Rent vs. Price Growth
+3.3%p93
Months in status1
Data through Aug 2026Rent growth vs price growth (rent support). Note: Affordability and Valuation measure different structural dimensions and can diverge.
Factor Details
Lower riskHigher risk
Low RiskBelow AvgNeutralElevatedHigh Risk
Price MomentumBelow Avg
+1.5%p35

12-month HPI change — higher = overheating

Permit GrowthBelow Avg
-7.8%p34

YoY permit change — higher = supply pressure

Permits per CapitaBelow Avg
2.75p31

Permits per 1,000 residents — higher = overbuilding risk

AffordabilityNeutral
0.30p52

Mortgage payment / income — higher = more burdened

EmploymentNeutral
+0.6%p44

12-month employment change (risk inverted)

MigrationElevated
-$25Kp75

Net AGI migration (risk inverted)

National Context

Credit Conditions

Credit Regime

Stable—

Normal expansion. Credit is available, transactions are healthy — no constraints on current growth momentum.

Bank Lending Standards
+0.0Normal
Rate Change (YoY)
+11 bpsNormal
Mortgage Risk Premium
+196 bpsElevated
Stable for 10 quartersData through 2026-Q3

Supply Pipeline

Supply Regime

Accumulating—

Supply pipeline is building up while credit remains available. New units are accumulating in the system — watch for delivery pressure in coming quarters.

Pipeline Ratio
0.89Elevated
Completion-Permit Divergence
-19.2 ppNormal
Accumulating for 6 quartersData through 2026-Q3
Local Signals

Metro Permit Activity

Permit Activity

Normal
YoY Permit Growth
-7.8%Within norm

Raw signal — not the composite percentile

Relative to 2016–2019 norms for this metro

Based on limited permit volume

Supply and demand are in equilibrium. No unusual activity on either side of the market.

Employment Concentration

Employment

Diversified
Largest SectorHealth Care 14.4%
QCEW 2024 annual averages
Internal Structure

County-level structural analysis.

County-level structural analysis is not available for this metro due to fewer than 3 qualifying counties.

Score History
MonthScore
2026-0657
2025-1251
2025-1158
2025-1062
2025-0955
2025-0759
2025-0656
2025-0454
2025-0152
2024-1247
2024-1148
2024-1048
2024-0850
2024-0650
2024-0450
2024-0247
2024-0147
2023-1146
2023-0840
2023-0543
2023-0242
2023-0140
2022-1142
2022-0855
2022-0654
2022-0356
2021-1251
2021-1051
2021-0952
2021-0747
2021-0452
2021-0248
2021-0148
2020-1152
2020-0958
2020-0756
2020-0448
2020-0356
2020-0154
2019-1054
2019-0851
2019-0656
2019-0456
2019-0155
Data Vintages
Price (HPI)2026-Q2
Permits2026-08
Income2024
Employment2026-08
Migration2023