Rankings/Colorado Springs, CO

Colorado Springs, CO

NeutralTier 1CBSA 17820Compare

Risk Rank: #174 of 273Month: 2026-08Score change (12m):↑ +14

46score

Composite risk percentile vs 273 metros (higher = higher risk)

Executive Summary

Colorado Springs's housing market shows average risk, ranking 174th of 273 metros. The market recently entered Expansion. Current conditions are balanced with stable liquidity. Broad-based growth with healthy fundamentals.

Colorado Springs experienced a market correction from early 2025 through early 2025. The market has since normalized and entered Expansion.

Inventory is growing at a moderate +8% pace with homes taking +4% longer to sell — within normal ranges.

Rent growth is roughly keeping pace with price appreciation, suggesting valuations are not stretched.

Cycle Phase

RecoveryExpansionHypersupplyRecession

1 month in current phase

Normal growth conditions with balanced fundamentals

Key Dynamics

Risk is primarily driven by permit growth and permits per capita, while price momentum provides the most support.

Top Drivers

Permit Growthp89

YoY permit change

Permits per Capitap81

Permits per 1,000 residents

Employmentp51

12-month employment change (risk inverted)

Market Signals

Inventory is growing at a moderate +8% pace with homes taking +4% longer to sell — within normal ranges.

Liquidity

Stable—

Active Listings YoY

+7.9%p57

Days on Market YoY

+3.5%p55

Months in status1

Data through Aug 2026

Valuation

Balanced—

Rent vs. Price Growth

+2.6%p90

Months in status1

Data through Aug 2026Rent growth vs price growth (rent support). Note: Affordability and Valuation measure different structural dimensions and can diverge.

Factor Details

Lower riskHigher risk

Low RiskBelow AvgNeutralElevatedHigh Risk

Price MomentumLow Risk

-0.3%p8

12-month HPI change — higher = overheating

Permit GrowthHigh Risk

+40.9%p89

YoY permit change — higher = supply pressure

Permits per CapitaHigh Risk

7.61p81

Permits per 1,000 residents — higher = overbuilding risk

AffordabilityBelow Avg

0.27p30

Mortgage payment / income — higher = more burdened

EmploymentNeutral

+0.4%p51

12-month employment change (risk inverted)

MigrationLow Risk

+$130Kp18

Net AGI migration (risk inverted)

National Context

Credit Conditions

Credit Regime

Stable—

Normal expansion. Credit is available, transactions are healthy — no constraints on current growth momentum.

Bank Lending Standards

+0.0Normal

Rate Change (YoY)

+11 bpsNormal

Mortgage Risk Premium

+196 bpsElevated

Stable for 10 quartersData through 2026-Q3

Supply Pipeline

Supply Regime

Accumulating—

Supply pipeline is building up while credit remains available. New units are accumulating in the system — watch for delivery pressure in coming quarters.

Pipeline Ratio

0.89Elevated

Completion-Permit Divergence

-19.2 ppNormal

Accumulating for 6 quartersData through 2026-Q3

Local Signals

Metro Permit Activity

Permit Activity

Surge

YoY Permit Growth

+40.9%Far above norm

Raw signal — not the composite percentile

Relative to 2016–2019 norms for this metro

Permit activity is surging and demand is absorbing it. Both sides of the market are running hot — monitor for overheating if liquidity shifts.

Employment Concentration

Employment

Moderate

Largest SectorGovernment 19%

QCEW 2024 annual averages

Internal Structure

County-level structural analysis.

County-level structural analysis is not available for this metro due to fewer than 3 qualifying counties.

Score History

Month	Phase	Score	Price	Permits	Afford	Employ	Migr
2026-06	Rec	44	8	88	32	36	18
2025-12	Hyp	53	22	92	35	72	18
2025-10	Hyp	31	21	13	35	38	19
2025-07	Hyp	32	9	13	35	54	19
2025-04	Hyp	32	16	13	36	46	19
2025-03	Ress	35	25	13	40	51	19
2025-01	Ress	37	30	13	40	58	19
2024-12	Hyp	35	22	13	40	53	19
2024-10	Hyp	32	14	13	40	46	19
2024-07	Hyp	32	24	13	44	30	19
2024-06	Ress	30	13	13	44	31	19
2024-04	Ress	29	6	13	44	31	19
2024-03	Hyp	27	6	13	44	21	19
2024-02	Exp	28	10	13	44	18	19
2023-12	Exp	28	21	13	41	11	19
2023-09	Exp	25	11	13	40	8	19
2023-08	Rec	24	7	13	40	4	19
2023-06	Rec	27	10	13	45	16	19
2023-05	Hyp	30	11	13	45	31	19
2023-03	Hyp	30	6	13	44	37	19
2023-01	Ress	30	5	13	44	38	19
2022-11	Ress	35	7	13	55	53	19
2022-10	Hyp	34	9	13	55	49	19
2022-08	Ress	40	35	13	62	47	19
2022-06	Ress	44	58	13	65	45	19
2022-04	Hyp	40	63	13	65	15	19
2022-03	Rec	44	72	13	68	27	19
2022-02	Hyp	44	76	13	68	24	19
2021-12	Hyp	41	77	13	58	16	22
2021-10	Exp	45	80	13	58	34	22
2021-08	Exp	48	88	13	59	46	22
2021-05	Exp	49	90	13	57	49	22
2021-02	Exp	42	87	13	52	17	22
2021-01	Rec	44	88	13	52	29	22
2020-11	Rec	42	90	13	56	16	16
2020-08	Rec	41	91	13	54	12	16
2020-05	Exp	43	92	13	53	21	16
2020-03	Exp	40	87	13	52	8	16
2019-12	Rec	40	87	13	51	12	14
2019-10	Rec	40	92	13	51	8	14
2019-07	Rec	39	89	13	49	7	14
2019-04	Rec	41	88	13	49	20	14
2019-03	Ress	43	90	13	49	33	14
2019-01	Ress	43	90	13	49	32	14

Data Vintages

Price (HPI)2026-Q2

Permits2026-08

Income2024

Employment2026-08

Migration2023