US Metro Real Estate Intelligence
Rankings/Bridgeport-Stamford-Danbury, CT

Bridgeport-Stamford-Danbury, CT

Below AverageTier 1CBSA 14860Compare
Risk Rank: #271 of 273Month: 2026-08Score change (12m):↓ -11
24score
Composite risk percentile vs 273 metros (higher = higher risk)

Executive Summary

Bridgeport's housing market shows below-average risk, ranking 271st of 273 metros. The market recently entered Expansion. Current conditions are balanced with stable liquidity. Broad-based growth with healthy fundamentals.

Bridgeport has maintained relatively stable market conditions throughout the observation period, currently in Expansion.

Inventory is growing at a moderate +7% pace with homes taking -2% longer to sell — within normal ranges.

Rent growth is roughly keeping pace with price appreciation, suggesting valuations are not stretched.

Cycle Phase

RecoveryExpansionHypersupplyRecession
1 month in current phase

Normal growth conditions with balanced fundamentals

20222023202420252026

Key Dynamics

Risk is primarily driven by price momentum and employment, while affordability provides the most support.

Top Drivers

Price Momentump83
12-month HPI change
Employmentp22
12-month employment change (risk inverted)
Permits per Capitap20
Permits per 1,000 residents

Market Signals

Inventory is growing at a moderate +7% pace with homes taking -2% longer to sell — within normal ranges.

Liquidity

Stable↑
Active Listings YoY
+7.1%p56
Days on Market YoY
-2.1%p43
Months in status1
Data through Aug 2026

Valuation

Balanced—
Rent vs. Price Growth
-1.1%p47
Months in status1
Data through Aug 2026Rent growth vs price growth (rent support). Note: Affordability and Valuation measure different structural dimensions and can diverge.
Factor Details
Lower riskHigher risk
Low RiskBelow AvgNeutralElevatedHigh Risk
Price MomentumHigh Risk
+4.0%p83

12-month HPI change — higher = overheating

Permit GrowthLow Risk
-44.1%p3

YoY permit change — higher = supply pressure

Permits per CapitaLow Risk
2.09p20

Permits per 1,000 residents — higher = overbuilding risk

AffordabilityLow Risk
0.19p1

Mortgage payment / income — higher = more burdened

EmploymentBelow Avg
+1.2%p22

12-month employment change (risk inverted)

MigrationLow Risk
+$211Kp13

Net AGI migration (risk inverted)

National Context

Credit Conditions

Credit Regime

Stable—

Normal expansion. Credit is available, transactions are healthy — no constraints on current growth momentum.

Bank Lending Standards
+0.0Normal
Rate Change (YoY)
+11 bpsNormal
Mortgage Risk Premium
+196 bpsElevated
Stable for 10 quartersData through 2026-Q3

Supply Pipeline

Supply Regime

Accumulating—

Supply pipeline is building up while credit remains available. New units are accumulating in the system — watch for delivery pressure in coming quarters.

Pipeline Ratio
0.89Elevated
Completion-Permit Divergence
-19.2 ppNormal
Accumulating for 6 quartersData through 2026-Q3
Local Signals

Metro Permit Activity

Permit Activity

Cooling
YoY Permit Growth
-44.1%Below norm

Raw signal — not the composite percentile

Relative to 2016–2019 norms for this metro

Builders are pulling back but demand remains healthy. A supply constraint could form — fewer new units entering a market that is still absorbing well.

Employment Concentration

Employment

Diversified
Largest SectorHealth Care 17.8%
QCEW 2024 annual averages
Internal Structure

County-level structural analysis.

County-level structural analysis is not available for this metro due to fewer than 3 qualifying counties.

Score History
MonthScore
2026-0644
2025-1253
2025-1044
2025-0740
2025-0443
2025-0137
2024-1042
2024-0744
2024-0440
2024-0144
2023-1039
2023-0738
2023-0438
2023-0131
2022-1036
2022-0730
2022-0430
2022-0128
Data Vintages
Price (HPI)2026-Q2
Permits2026-08
Income2024
Employment2026-08
Migration2023