US Metro Real Estate Intelligence
Rankings/Bridgeport-Stamford-Danbury, CT

Bridgeport-Stamford-Danbury, CT

NeutralTier 1CBSA 14860Compare
Risk Rank: #173 of 274Month: 2026-05Score change (12m): +4
47score
Composite risk percentile vs 274 metros (higher = higher risk)

Executive Summary

Bridgeport's housing market shows average risk, ranking 173rd of 274 metros. The market recently entered Recovery. Current conditions are balanced with stable liquidity. Early signs of stabilization — conditions may favor patient buyers.

Bridgeport has maintained relatively stable market conditions throughout the observation period, currently in Recovery.

Inventory is declining (-6% YoY), indicating a tight market with limited supply.

Rent growth is roughly keeping pace with price appreciation, suggesting valuations are not stretched.

Cycle Phase

RecoveryExpansionHypersupplyRecession
1 month in current phase

Market conditions are rebuilding after a correction period

2022202320242025

Key Dynamics

Risk is primarily driven by permit growth and price momentum, while affordability provides the most support.

Top Drivers

Permit Growthp91
YoY permit change
Price Momentump88
12-month HPI change
Employmentp47
12-month employment change (risk inverted)

Market Signals

Inventory is declining (-6% YoY), indicating a tight market with limited supply.

Liquidity

Stable
Active Listings YoY
-5.7%p42
Days on Market YoY
-10.3%p28
Months in status1
Data through May 2026

Valuation

Balanced
Rent vs. Price Growth
-1.0%p48
Months in status1
Data through May 2026Rent growth vs price growth (rent support). Note: Affordability and Valuation measure different structural dimensions and can diverge.
Factor Details
Lower riskHigher risk
Low RiskBelow AvgNeutralElevatedHigh Risk
Price MomentumHigh Risk
+3.3%p88

12-month HPI change — higher = overheating

Permit GrowthHigh Risk
+35.6%p91

YoY permit change — higher = supply pressure

Permits per CapitaNeutral
3.34p41

Permits per 1,000 residents — higher = overbuilding risk

AffordabilityLow Risk
0.18p1

Mortgage payment / income — higher = more burdened

EmploymentNeutral
+0.2%p47

12-month employment change (risk inverted)

MigrationLow Risk
+$211Kp13

Net AGI migration (risk inverted)

National Context

Credit Conditions

Credit Regime

Stable

Healthy recovery. Credit is flowing normally and transactions are steady — conditions favor continued rebuilding.

Bank Lending Standards
-3.7Normal
Rate Change (YoY)
-38 bpsNormal
Mortgage Risk Premium
+199 bpsElevated
Stable for 9 quartersData through 2026-Q2

Supply Pipeline

Supply Regime

Accumulating

Supply pipeline is building up while credit remains available. New units are accumulating in the system — watch for delivery pressure in coming quarters.

Pipeline Ratio
0.90Elevated
Completion-Permit Divergence
-5.9 ppNormal
Accumulating for 5 quartersData through 2026-Q2
Local Signals

Metro Permit Activity

Permit Activity

Elevated
YoY Permit Growth
+35.6%Above norm

Raw signal — not the composite percentile

Relative to 2016–2019 norms for this metro

Above-normal building activity with healthy demand. Balanced expansion — the market is absorbing new supply without stress.

Employment Concentration

Employment

Diversified
Largest SectorHealth Care 17.8%
QCEW 2024 annual averages
Internal Structure

County-level structural analysis.

County-level structural analysis is not available for this metro due to fewer than 3 qualifying counties.

Score History
MonthScore
2025-1253
2025-1044
2025-0740
2025-0443
2025-0137
2024-1042
2024-0744
2024-0440
2024-0144
2023-1039
2023-0738
2023-0438
2023-0131
2022-1036
2022-0730
2022-0430
2022-0128
Data Vintages
Price (HPI)2026-Q1
Permits2026-05
Income2024
Employment2026-05
Migration2023