US Metro Real Estate Intelligence
Rankings/Bremerton-Silverdale-Port Orchard, WA

Bremerton-Silverdale-Port Orchard, WA

Below AverageTier 1CBSA 14740Compare
Risk Rank: #247 of 273Month: 2026-08Score change (12m):— -3
35score
Composite risk percentile vs 273 metros (higher = higher risk)

Executive Summary

Bremerton's housing market shows below-average risk, ranking 247th of 273 metros. The market recently entered Expansion. Inventory is growing moderately (+13% YoY) with stable liquidity. Broad-based growth with healthy fundamentals.

Bremerton experienced a market correction from early 2024 through mid-2024. The market has since normalized and entered Expansion.

Inventory is growing at a moderate +13% pace with homes taking +2% longer to sell — within normal ranges.

Rent growth is roughly keeping pace with price appreciation, suggesting valuations are not stretched.

Cycle Phase

RecoveryExpansionHypersupplyRecession
1 month in current phase

Normal growth conditions with balanced fundamentals

20192020202120222023202420252026

Key Dynamics

Risk is primarily driven by employment and permits per capita, while permit growth provides the most support.

Top Drivers

Employmentp99
12-month employment change (risk inverted)
Permits per Capitap53
Permits per 1,000 residents
Affordabilityp20
Mortgage payment / income

Market Signals

Inventory is growing at a moderate +13% pace with homes taking +2% longer to sell — within normal ranges.

Liquidity

Stable↑
Active Listings YoY
+12.8%p63
Days on Market YoY
+2.2%p52
Months in status1
Data through Aug 2026

Valuation

Balanced—
Rent vs. Price Growth
+2.5%p89
Months in status1
Data through Aug 2026Rent growth vs price growth (rent support). Note: Affordability and Valuation measure different structural dimensions and can diverge.
Factor Details
Lower riskHigher risk
Low RiskBelow AvgNeutralElevatedHigh Risk
Price MomentumLow Risk
+0.1%p12

12-month HPI change — higher = overheating

Permit GrowthLow Risk
-30.5%p7

YoY permit change — higher = supply pressure

Permits per CapitaNeutral
4.32p53

Permits per 1,000 residents — higher = overbuilding risk

AffordabilityLow Risk
0.26p20

Mortgage payment / income — higher = more burdened

EmploymentHigh Risk
-2.7%p99

12-month employment change (risk inverted)

MigrationLow Risk
+$128Kp19

Net AGI migration (risk inverted)

National Context

Credit Conditions

Credit Regime

Stable—

Normal expansion. Credit is available, transactions are healthy — no constraints on current growth momentum.

Bank Lending Standards
+0.0Normal
Rate Change (YoY)
+11 bpsNormal
Mortgage Risk Premium
+196 bpsElevated
Stable for 10 quartersData through 2026-Q3

Supply Pipeline

Supply Regime

Accumulating—

Supply pipeline is building up while credit remains available. New units are accumulating in the system — watch for delivery pressure in coming quarters.

Pipeline Ratio
0.89Elevated
Completion-Permit Divergence
-19.2 ppNormal
Accumulating for 6 quartersData through 2026-Q3
Local Signals

Metro Permit Activity

Permit Activity

Sharp Cooling
YoY Permit Growth
-30.5%Significant pullback

Raw signal — not the composite percentile

Relative to 2016–2019 norms for this metro

Significant supply pullback into healthy demand. A supply constraint is forming — pricing power is shifting to existing inventory holders.

Employment Concentration

Employment

Concentrated
Largest SectorGovernment 37.3%
QCEW 2024 annual averages
Internal Structure

County-level structural analysis.

County-level structural analysis is not available for this metro due to fewer than 3 qualifying counties.

Score History
MonthScore
2026-0658
2025-1263
2025-1147
2025-0942
2025-0838
2025-0740
2025-0536
2025-0432
2025-0222
2025-0121
2024-1126
2024-1025
2024-0831
2024-0634
2024-0432
2024-0140
2023-1139
2023-0832
2023-0630
2023-0432
2023-0232
2023-0131
2022-1133
2022-1032
2022-0841
2022-0646
2022-0544
2022-0445
2022-0238
2022-0139
2021-1239
2021-1044
2021-0751
2021-0452
2021-0150
2020-1250
2020-1048
2020-0746
2020-0442
2020-0239
2019-1144
2019-1043
2019-0837
2019-0536
2019-0340
2019-0138
Data Vintages
Price (HPI)2026-Q2
Permits2026-08
Income2024
Employment2026-08
Migration2023