US Metro Real Estate Intelligence
Rankings/Bremerton-Silverdale-Port Orchard, WA

Bremerton-Silverdale-Port Orchard, WA

ElevatedTier 1CBSA 14740Compare
Risk Rank: #27 of 287Month: 2025-12Score change (12m): +37
63score
Composite risk percentile vs 287 metros (higher = higher risk)

Executive Summary

Bremerton's housing market shows elevated risk, ranking 27th of 287 metros. The market recently entered Expansion. Current conditions are balanced with stable liquidity. Broad-based growth with healthy fundamentals.

Bremerton experienced a market correction from early 2024 through mid-2024. The market has since normalized and entered Expansion.

Inventory is growing at a moderate +5% pace with homes taking +5% longer to sell — within normal ranges.

Rent growth is roughly keeping pace with price appreciation, suggesting valuations are not stretched.

Cycle Phase

RecoveryExpansionHypersupplyRecession
1 month in current phase·from Recovery

Normal growth conditions with balanced fundamentals

2019202020212022202320242025

Key Dynamics

Risk is primarily driven by employment and permit growth, while migration provides the most support.

Top Drivers

Employmentp99
12-month employment change (risk inverted)
Permit Growthp91
YoY permit change
Permits per Capitap73
Permits per 1,000 residents

Market Signals

Inventory is growing at a moderate +5% pace with homes taking +5% longer to sell — within normal ranges.

Liquidity

Stable
Active Listings YoY
+5.1%p54
Days on Market YoY
+4.7%p58
Months in status4
Data through Dec 2025

Valuation

Balanced
Rent vs. Price Growth
-2.1%p33
Months in status23
Data through Dec 2025Rent growth vs price growth (rent support). Note: Affordability and Valuation measure different structural dimensions and can diverge.
Factor Details
Lower riskHigher risk
Low RiskBelow AvgNeutralElevatedHigh Risk
Price MomentumElevated
+4.1%p70

12-month HPI change — higher = overheating

Permit GrowthHigh Risk
+42.7%p91

YoY permit change — higher = supply pressure

Permits per CapitaElevated
6.41p73

Permits per 1,000 residents — higher = overbuilding risk

AffordabilityBelow Avg
0.24p25

Mortgage payment / income — higher = more burdened

EmploymentHigh Risk
-1.9%p99

12-month employment change (risk inverted)

MigrationLow Risk
+$128Kp19

Net AGI migration (risk inverted)

National Context

Credit Conditions

Credit Regime

Stable

Normal expansion. Credit is available, transactions are healthy — no constraints on current growth momentum.

Bank Lending Standards
-5.7Normal
Rate Change (YoY)
-74 bpsNormal
Mortgage Risk Premium
+191 bpsElevated
Stable for 8 quartersData through 2026-Q1

Supply Pipeline

Supply Regime

Accumulating

Supply pipeline is building up while credit remains available. New units are accumulating in the system — watch for delivery pressure in coming quarters.

Pipeline Ratio
0.92High
Completion-Permit Divergence
+1.9 ppNormal
Accumulating for 4 quartersData through 2026-Q1
Local Signals

Metro Permit Activity

Permit Activity

Elevated
YoY Permit Growth
+42.7%Above norm

Raw signal — not the composite percentile

Relative to 2016–2019 norms for this metro

Above-normal building activity with healthy demand. Balanced expansion — the market is absorbing new supply without stress.

Employment Concentration

Employment

Concentrated
Largest SectorGovernment 37.3%
QCEW 2024 annual averages
Internal Structure

County-level structural analysis.

County-level structural analysis is not available for this metro due to fewer than 3 qualifying counties.

Score History
MonthScore
2025-1147
2025-0942
2025-0838
2025-0740
2025-0536
2025-0432
2025-0222
2025-0121
2024-1126
2024-1025
2024-0831
2024-0634
2024-0432
2024-0140
2023-1139
2023-0832
2023-0630
2023-0432
2023-0232
2023-0131
2022-1133
2022-1032
2022-0841
2022-0646
2022-0544
2022-0445
2022-0238
2022-0139
2021-1239
2021-1044
2021-0751
2021-0452
2021-0150
2020-1250
2020-1048
2020-0746
2020-0442
2020-0239
2019-1144
2019-1043
2019-0837
2019-0536
2019-0340
2019-0138
Data Vintages
Price (HPI)2025-Q4
Permits2026-01
Income2024
Employment2025-12
Migration2023