US Metro Real Estate Intelligence
Rankings/Amherst Town-Northampton, MA

Amherst Town-Northampton, MA

NeutralTier 1CBSA 11200Compare
Risk Rank: #116 of 274Month: 2026-05
52score
Composite risk percentile vs 274 metros (higher = higher risk)

Executive Summary

Amherst Town's housing market shows average risk, ranking 116th of 274 metros. The market recently entered Expansion. Broad-based growth with healthy fundamentals.

Amherst Town has maintained relatively stable market conditions throughout the observation period, currently in Expansion.

Key Dynamics

Risk is primarily driven by permit growth and employment, while price momentum provides the most support.

Top Drivers

Permit Growthp78
YoY permit change
Employmentp76
12-month employment change (risk inverted)
Migrationp71
Net AGI migration (risk inverted)
Factor Details
Lower riskHigher risk
Low RiskBelow AvgNeutralElevatedHigh Risk
Price MomentumBelow Avg
+0.7%p22

12-month HPI change — higher = overheating

Permit GrowthElevated
+19.4%p78

YoY permit change — higher = supply pressure

Permits per CapitaBelow Avg
2.28p26

Permits per 1,000 residents — higher = overbuilding risk

AffordabilityBelow Avg
0.27p37

Mortgage payment / income — higher = more burdened

EmploymentElevated
-0.6%p76

12-month employment change (risk inverted)

MigrationElevated
-$19Kp71

Net AGI migration (risk inverted)

National Context

Credit Conditions

Credit Regime

Stable
Bank Lending Standards
-3.7Normal
Rate Change (YoY)
-38 bpsNormal
Mortgage Risk Premium
+199 bpsElevated
Stable for 9 quartersData through 2026-Q2

Supply Pipeline

Supply Regime

Accumulating

Supply pipeline is building up while credit remains available. New units are accumulating in the system — watch for delivery pressure in coming quarters.

Pipeline Ratio
0.90Elevated
Completion-Permit Divergence
-5.9 ppNormal
Accumulating for 5 quartersData through 2026-Q2
Local Signals

Employment Concentration

Employment

Moderate
Largest SectorGovernment 26.3%
QCEW 2024 annual averages
Internal Structure

County-level structural analysis.

County-level structural analysis is not available for this metro due to fewer than 3 qualifying counties.

Score History
MonthScore
2025-1244
Data Vintages
Price (HPI)2026-Q1
Permits2026-05
Income2024
Employment2026-05
Migration2023