US Metro Real Estate Intelligence
Rankings/Amherst Town-Northampton, MA

Amherst Town-Northampton, MA

NeutralTier 1CBSA 11200Compare
Risk Rank: #174 of 273Month: 2026-08
46score
Composite risk percentile vs 273 metros (higher = higher risk)

Executive Summary

Amherst Town's housing market shows average risk, ranking 174th of 273 metros. The market recently entered Expansion. Broad-based growth with healthy fundamentals.

Amherst Town has maintained relatively stable market conditions throughout the observation period, currently in Expansion.

Key Dynamics

Risk is primarily driven by permit growth and migration, while employment provides the most support.

Top Drivers

Permit Growthp91
YoY permit change
Migrationp71
Net AGI migration (risk inverted)
Price Momentump44
12-month HPI change
Factor Details
Lower riskHigher risk
Low RiskBelow AvgNeutralElevatedHigh Risk
Price MomentumNeutral
+2.0%p44

12-month HPI change — higher = overheating

Permit GrowthHigh Risk
+49.4%p91

YoY permit change — higher = supply pressure

Permits per CapitaBelow Avg
2.39p25

Permits per 1,000 residents — higher = overbuilding risk

AffordabilityBelow Avg
0.28p36

Mortgage payment / income — higher = more burdened

EmploymentLow Risk
+1.7%p10

12-month employment change (risk inverted)

MigrationElevated
-$19Kp71

Net AGI migration (risk inverted)

National Context

Credit Conditions

Credit Regime

Stable—
Bank Lending Standards
+0.0Normal
Rate Change (YoY)
+11 bpsNormal
Mortgage Risk Premium
+196 bpsElevated
Stable for 10 quartersData through 2026-Q3

Supply Pipeline

Supply Regime

Accumulating—

Supply pipeline is building up while credit remains available. New units are accumulating in the system — watch for delivery pressure in coming quarters.

Pipeline Ratio
0.89Elevated
Completion-Permit Divergence
-19.2 ppNormal
Accumulating for 6 quartersData through 2026-Q3
Local Signals

Employment Concentration

Employment

Moderate
Largest SectorGovernment 26.3%
QCEW 2024 annual averages
Internal Structure

County-level structural analysis.

County-level structural analysis is not available for this metro due to fewer than 3 qualifying counties.

Score History
MonthScore
2026-0653
2025-1244
Data Vintages
Price (HPI)2026-Q2
Permits2026-08
Income2024
Employment2026-08
Migration2023