US Metro Real Estate Intelligence
Rankings/Amherst Town-Northampton, MA

Amherst Town-Northampton, MA

Below AverageTier 1CBSA 11200Compare
Risk Rank: #279 of 287Month: 2025-12
30score
Composite risk percentile vs 287 metros (higher = higher risk)

Amherst Town's housing market shows below-average risk, ranking 279th of 287 metros. The market recently entered Expansion.

Executive Summary

Risk is Below Average, driven primarily by migration and employment. The market is in Expansion phase. Liquidity is not yet assessed and valuation is not yet assessed.

Top Risk Drivers (This Month)

Migration
p50 (moderate)
Net AGI migration (risk inverted)
Employment
p43 (below average risk)
12-month employment change (risk inverted)
Affordability
p37 (below average risk)
Mortgage payment / income
Factor Details

Factor Breakdown

Price Momentum18

12-month HPI change — higher = overheating

Permit Growth20

YoY permit change — higher = supply pressure

Permits per Capita12

Permits per 1,000 residents — higher = overbuilding risk

Affordability37

Mortgage payment / income — higher = more burdened

Employment43

12-month employment change (risk inverted)

Migration50

Net AGI migration (risk inverted)

Underlying Values

MetricValuePctile
Price Momentum+0.4%p18
Permit Growth-18.4%p20
Permits/1K Pop1.62p12
Affordability0.26p37
Employment+0.4%p43
Net AGI Migration+$11Kp50
National ContextDoes not affect score

Credit Conditions

Credit Regime

Stable
Bank Lending Standards
-5.7Normal
Rate Change (YoY)
-74 bpsNormal
Mortgage Risk Premium
+189 bpsElevated
Stable for 8 quartersData through 2026-Q1

Supply Pipeline

Supply Regime

Accumulating

Supply pipeline is building up while credit remains available. New units are accumulating in the system — watch for delivery pressure in coming quarters.

Pipeline Ratio
0.91High
Completion-Permit Divergence
-3.2 ppNormal
Accumulating for 3 quartersData through 2025-Q4
Internal Structure

County-level structural analysis.

County-level structural analysis is not available for this metro due to fewer than 3 qualifying counties.

Score History
First scoring month — history will build with each monthly refresh.
Data Vintages
Price (HPI)2025-Q3
Permits2025-12
Income2024
Employment2025-12
Migration2022